Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73fbb812f5c85730f65159712015c3c612643b082b31cfa5a83172cd06f9fc96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,841
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 690.87$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.62 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 29c | 649.65$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.3 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 26c | 568.34$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 27c | 540.69$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.36 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Over | 74c | 384.61$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 70c | 302.37$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.71 | 107 | 38.3%41 W · 66 L | -13.1wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 300.13$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 70c | 239.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.35 | 334 | 52.7%176 W · 158 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 28c | 103.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.47 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 67c | 99.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 33c | 75.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Over | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 87 | 47.1%41 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 69c | 56$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 70c | 33.51$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.05 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 33c | 32.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 70c | 31.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd7…88d8backed Over | 70c | 28.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Over | 69c | 23.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfacd…d470backed Over | 71c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd42…9588backed Over | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.