Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x90fc6adcbe1abd21a81ef198d3337806316e37ecd8abb2d595b8868c9d6f1599
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,635
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 890.28$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.47 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 10c | 799.74$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 19c | 779.23$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.82 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 40c | 618$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.2 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 60c | 572.5$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 14c | 351.62$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.62 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…3a9dbacked Under | 79c | 302.68$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.68 | 25 | 72%18 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 22c | 296.46$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.52 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 62c | 295.86$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.77 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Over | 11c | 202.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 42c | 178.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 10c | 151.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 40c | 130$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 45c | 129$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.6wins | -0.24per pick | 45cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…02fdbacked Over | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Under | 77c | 110.5$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.85 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Over | 40c | 90.8$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 58 | 70.7%41 W · 17 L | +8.2wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 33c | 74.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Over | 27c | 63.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 41c | 60.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x995e…534cbacked Over | 23c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 48c | 44.09$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 42c | 31.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…512abacked Over | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.46per pick | 61cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 67c | 25.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 50c | 23.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 71c | 23.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 131 | 40.5%53 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0655…faf8backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.