Asian League · resolved market
Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40828e6f57a50892a0c2b1b5797fd32b6e00ea57d5140a91c59fe06045ffab89
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,799
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,537
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,799 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb54c…8affbacked Under | 0c | 5,823$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 43c | 1,813$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.23 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 77c | 649.67$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 48c | 617.74$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 23c | 599.85$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.88 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Over | 27c | 596.1$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.67 | 239 | 27.2%65 W · 174 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 48c | 595.54$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.99 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 515$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 120 | 74.2%89 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 59c | 499.98$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.99 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa354…b85fbacked Over | 26c | 329.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.32 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 66cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 10c | 299.12$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 104 | 36.5%38 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 71c | 268.73$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad7…c097backed Over | 23c | 218.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.42 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 57c | 180.22$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.32 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 44c | 110.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.46 | 121 | 46.3%56 W · 65 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Under | 71c | 108.79$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.24 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa0…aa66backed Over | 80c | 106.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 100.48$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.21 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 23c | 100$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 276 | 39.5%109 W · 167 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 64c | 78.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.44 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -11.8wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98e9…8dbebacked Over | 70c | 73.63$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 45c | 55.29$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.66 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 27c | 54.58$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.84 | 141 | 53.2%75 W · 66 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 38c | 39.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd85…6a32backed Under | 71c | 35.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 48c | 30.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.76 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 54c | 27.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf6…c75bbacked Over | 54c | 26.16$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.13 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed Under | 78c | 23.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 53c | 22.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 1.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 2.5Over won
- Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Khaleej Saudi Club: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.