TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa26e…17e3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
97
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst Chess at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3066.7%20 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Lanús vs. CA Unión: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+66.7%+$15.24
CA Sarmiento vs. CA Banfield: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$14.48
Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.68
AA Estudiantes vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15.74
CD Riestra vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$36.52
CA Belgrano vs. CA Tigre: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.24
Estudiantes de La Plata vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$11.32
São Paulo FC vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.89
Fluminense FC vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+35.1%+$10.29
CA River Plate vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.29
SC Internacional vs. CA Paranaense: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$24.01
EC Vitória vs. Clube do Remo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.29
Coritiba FBC vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.3
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. Santos FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+42.9%+$10.29
CA Mineiro vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+44.9%+$10.29
Racing Club vs. CA Rosario Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+47.1%+$11.46
CA Aldosivi vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.59
CA Newell's Old Boys vs. CA Independiente: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST+31.2%+$8.71
CA Tucumán vs. CA Central Córdoba: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.58
CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+81.8%+$8.36
CA Vélez Sarsfield vs. CA Talleres: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+66.7%+$7.6
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+58.7%+$82.22
Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Racing Club: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$70.48
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$56.07
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+47.1%+$10.29
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+57.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.73
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+481.3%+$103.91
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.61
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.75
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$34.05
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.06
Will Russia capture Rodynske by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+118.6%+$20.78
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+127.3%+$26.79
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$19.99
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+178.5%+$57.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick31cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jan 28, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick77cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+83.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 7, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$27.18
US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
All 2 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Chess — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?backed Gold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+72.4%+$14.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.