Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5149b2dd707be56ac307ad8951da735a588d314d4cb4e41becb4dfe5f95aa2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,027
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 71c | 2,786$1,966 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 8c | 1,251$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.55 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 41c | 1,021$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.51 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3098…20e8backed Over | 54c | 459.24$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 64c | 383$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.12 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 35c | 317.8$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 292.86$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.51 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Over | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Over | 72c | 167.45$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 133.14$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.91 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 55c | 128.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 71c | 104.23$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Over | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9219…5ca1backed Over | 39c | 95$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e32…f244backed Under | 29c | 83$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.93 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed Under | 29c | 74$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.54 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Under | 30c | 60$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +7.1wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Over | 37c | 55.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 55c | 53.87$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8d…55c5backed Under | 57c | 49.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc716…f0d7backed Under | 29c | 44$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…0da6backed Over | 71c | 35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 67c | 31.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef9…b5bfbacked Over | 71c | 31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…938dbacked Over | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f6…4288backed Over | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 70cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaac…1045backed Over | 71c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 52c | 23.95$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.6 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb75…bc16backed Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 68cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84c6…f8afbacked Over | 71c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.