Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x99db14855f7561e9608c45fcd03f1afe06788071327ff7646d12e6be48819864
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,325
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe667…898fbacked Over | 3c | 2,143$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.22 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -87.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed91…8ce8backed Over | 3c | 882.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 23c | 302.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.61 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 77c | 278.5$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.05 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026c…8d76backed Under | 78c | 153.49$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.49 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aff…c91bbacked Over | 23c | 130$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 21c | 111.49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.41 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…c71fbacked Under | 77c | 84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 23c | 84$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Over | 23c | 71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.33 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Under | 77c | 44.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 26c | 41.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b90…c258backed Under | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Under | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5f…b793backed Under | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc789…3907backed Under | 77c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…042fbacked Under | 77c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Under | 73c | 33.33$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38dc…4c5fbacked Under | 77c | 26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.98 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…08ebbacked Under | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60dc…9a3ebacked Under | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a14…8610backed Under | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89fe…4293backed Under | 77c | 17$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22e5…81acbacked Under | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 3.5this page
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Kasımpaşa SK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.