South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c30f1fe8a339ce7f9973770cfcb3cd8edd5e13e7cff9b442575c7915f6ab38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,996
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,996 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 2,218$1,141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140.96 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked Over | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +32%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 40c | 522.47$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.4 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 68c | 378.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 100 | 69%69 W · 31 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 68c | 293.24$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 43c | 232.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.48 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13a5…b620backed Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 36c | 155.34$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.74 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 35c | 143.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.14 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf1e…5d9bbacked Over | 66c | 124.57$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.9 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c0b…43cbbacked Under | 44c | 124.14$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.32 | 250 | 21.6%54 W · 196 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 56c | 101.79$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 69c | 83.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 359 | 58.8%211 W · 148 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 59.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x728f…8553backed Under | 46c | 54.91$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeae0…c81abacked Over | 57c | 50.61$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdef7…9fadbacked Over | 56c | 48.77$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 38c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4970…21f6backed Under | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7a…6563backed Under | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 50c | 40.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 449 | 39.2%176 W · 273 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…b5a6backed Over | 67c | 38.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.69 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…4287backed Under | 37c | 33.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.57 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 32.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Under | 41c | 30.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa99b…8897backed Under | 41c | 30.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4182…ae54backed Over | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 49c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 178 | 52.8%94 W · 84 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Over | 57c | 26.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.32 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51dd…c727backed Under | 45c | 22.4$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 66c | 19.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…17e3backed Over | 55c | 18.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 1.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.