Chess · resolved market
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x238372d53e7fe6e54928ce3270c6ae7e46701d88798c89f9771b146a12e8060a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Chessevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $80,898
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Chess is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Chess | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 46c | 9,305$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.2 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa81e…03dcbacked No | 41c | 4,720$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.85 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 50c | 3,872$1,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,944.79 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked No | 1c | 2,600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 37c | 2,108$786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.12 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 1c | 2,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed No | 54c | 1,888$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,017.75 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf72c…f818backed Yes | 41c | 1,842$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Yes | 60c | 1,799$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa5…6292backed No | 60c | 1,776$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.19 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa6…0b3bbacked Yes | 77c | 1,565$1,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4167…2427backed No | 40c | 1,541$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca7…31a2backed No | 55c | 1,523$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$831.83 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5,506%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe654…1782backed No | 62c | 1,485$918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$918 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked No | 20c | 1,346$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.07 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ea…f348backed Yes | 44c | 1,139$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.29 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.36per pick | 24cpaid | +122.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked No | 56c | 1,000$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.23 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 22cpaid | -86.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffd4…0f95backed Yes | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -68%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…d68abacked Yes | 54c | 929.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.79 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1985…8cbdbacked Yes | 72c | 897.43$645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.43 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +86.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67a7…86cebacked No | 56c | 749.29$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.6 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -76.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 46c | 726.17$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.17 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -75.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52c…450cbacked Yes | 66c | 718.96$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8350…1439backed No | 65c | 671.75$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36bf…2864backed No | 40c | 654.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.09 | 116 | 31%36 W · 80 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf584…d8dabacked Yes | 57c | 527$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9399…a30cbacked Yes | 38c | 526.31$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x227c…a303backed No | 2c | 519.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…ec60backed No | 40c | 482.94$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 76 | 7.9%6 W · 70 L | -12.3wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 43c | 479.65$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.66 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8820…0118backed Yes | 77c | 469.83$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ae…93ecbacked Yes | 44c | 421.75$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.44 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…009dbacked No | 3c | 404.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed No | 60c | 401.44$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked No | 56c | 400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc6e…3435backed Yes | 48c | 398.72$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe693…72c5backed No | 51c | 373.78$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2544…f319backed No | 43c | 346.91$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 39c | 323.28$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.9 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 45c | 311.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.11 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x985b…ce2cbacked Yes | 44c | 299.98$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Yes | 41c | 274.18$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.77 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…bb4abacked Yes | 39c | 265.46$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.88 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f57…242ebacked No | 44c | 227.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5c…aad0backed Yes | 44c | 227.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 39c | 222.85$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.31 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f20…086abacked Yes | 44c | 216.91$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be5…c1b3backed No | 56c | 206.44$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.67 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.46 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…a728backed Yes | 53c | 188.3$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.38per pick | 37cpaid | +104.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7057…a052backed No | 57c | 186.55$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed No | 42c | 185.14$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 55c | 178.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +197.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…7c89backed Yes | 50c | 178.05$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 37c | 177.23$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 175 | 7.4%13 W · 162 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed No | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.5 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…cc4fbacked Yes | 44c | 174.31$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.31 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 58c | 172.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d7…0c39backed No | 47c | 162.65$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 20cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked No | 53c | 152.28$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed No | 54c | 128.4$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe348…ef84backed No | 29c | 125.1$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa94…395fbacked Yes | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4933…1195backed Yes | 54c | 123.55$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.52 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +226.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…649cbacked Yes | 42c | 119.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +139.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc357…3684backed Yes | 45c | 115$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f5d…91dbbacked Yes | 44c | 102.48$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 38c | 101.6$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.57 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc32f…cb35backed Yes | 40c | 100.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed No | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5025…dd30backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50d7…e193backed No | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…af58backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…f3a9backed No | 25c | 98.7$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 123 | 13%16 W · 107 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -24%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…d044backed Yes | 38c | 98.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +135%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c5…558dbacked Yes | 37c | 91.27$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb410…7736backed No | 43c | 91.09$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked No | 25c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01d0…4afdbacked No | 26c | 90$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac9f…598ebacked Yes | 14c | 88.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.86per pick | 14cpaid | +622.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca14…11bebacked Yes | 40c | 87.68$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.69 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +117.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…fe62backed Yes | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…59eabacked No | 59c | 83.64$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 52c | 81.08$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3c…e38bbacked No | 58c | 79.99$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 35c | 77.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b6…d6a8backed Yes | 40c | 74.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…3ae6backed Yes | 46c | 74.34$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab53…c351backed Yes | 40c | 74.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44fa…ddabbacked Yes | 59c | 68.37$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 49c | 64.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.56 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2b…cb02backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe096…9779backed No | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Yes | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…d241backed Yes | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7b30backed No | 68c | 58.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 22cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 71c | 55.94$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…e644backed Yes | 58c | 54.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 61c | 54.07$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.95 | 110 | 11.8%13 W · 97 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2d…9a11backed Yes | 43c | 51.53$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Chess and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?this page
- Will Alexey Sarana win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Arjun Erigaisi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Daniil Dubov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will David Anton Guijarro win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Gukesh D win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Hans Moke Niemann win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Ian Nepomniachtchi win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Leinier Dominguez Perez win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Nihal Sarin win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Nodirbek Abdusattorov win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Parham Maghsoodloo win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Praggnanandhaa R win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Samuel Sevian win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Shant Sargsyan win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Vincent Keymer win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Vladislav Artemiev win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
- Will Wesley So win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.