TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0edd…3db1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
148
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 59 out of 100; worst AI at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT8151.9%42 W · 39 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 81 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$46.15
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.56
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+366.7%+$91.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$59.4
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+279.2%+$28.15
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.26
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.54
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$54.12
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.53
Showing 25 of 81 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+25%+$50
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$31
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$41
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Rapid Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$44
Will Alireza Firouzja win the 2025 FIDE Grand Swiss chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 15, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$17.5
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess Esports World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Levon Aronian win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+381.3%+$175.08
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$21
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Freestyle Chess Lands in Las Vegas tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2025, EDT+116%+$144.07
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.63
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Norway Chess tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.94
All 13 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Alcaraz vs. Auger-Aliassime: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Under 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+31.6%+$24
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$121
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$47
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.9
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.98
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$128.3
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.1
Wimbledon: Alcaraz vs. Sinner – Over 40.5 Games?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.8
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.4
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$15.5
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Taylor Fritz?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.9wins+0.27per pick55cpaid+47.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$43.79
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$34.26
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.2
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$40.1
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$36
FIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Real Madrid (To Advance)backed PSG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$19.13
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+68.6%+$28.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+39.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+108.3%+$26
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.32
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$70.82
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$88.4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.3
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$18.62
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+100%+$14.23
US military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT+55.5%+$22.66
Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$22
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-44.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$21.04
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+69.6%+$66.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-29.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Dinamo Zagreb win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.09
Will AS Roma win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$29
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+41.1%+$50.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 13, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: KT vs HLEbacked KT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.