Middle East · resolved market
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x575f6a141e4e4155dacb2f6bdc47c743ce6f55939ab66c813ea84689472e5477
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $811,427
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $901,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $811,427 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5eb2…3d7fbacked No | 0c | 75,318$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…c7c1backed No | 4c | 55,374$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.69 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8917…28f3backed No | 1c | 39,650$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5800…8181backed No | 1c | 29,162$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.5 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…416dbacked No | 0c | 24,250$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 69c | 23,710$16,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,454.66 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c26…cf53backed No | 1c | 23,196$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…c8aabacked No | 1c | 15,195$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.57 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b0…77d6backed No | 1c | 13,287$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…60e0backed No | 1c | 11,678$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e8e…e030backed No | 0c | 10,179$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 15c | 10,163$1,537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,536.93 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…4597backed Yes | 47c | 10,094$4,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,382.34 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +18.8wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +128.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed No | 7c | 10,005$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.99 | 97 | 11.3%11 W · 86 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed No | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed No | 0c | 8,924$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.39 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf26…9970backed No | 0c | 8,390$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x295e…6813backed No | 1c | 7,778$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…b1d9backed No | 1c | 7,467$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.53 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…93acbacked No | 3c | 7,137$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5d…7315backed No | 1c | 6,866$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…30c2backed No | 8c | 5,185$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.97 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…ca56backed No | 1c | 5,075$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f5…15a8backed No | 1c | 5,050$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 28c | 4,868$1,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,358.57 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4526…7a45backed No | 27c | 4,799$1,288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.08 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…863ebacked No | 3c | 4,708$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3da…f230backed No | 0c | 4,340$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bee…df6dbacked No | 1c | 4,083$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c6…34a2backed No | 73c | 4,033$2,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,943.95 | 101 | 50.5%51 W · 50 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed No | 9c | 3,741$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.96 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed No | 1c | 3,500$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 5c | 3,388$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 22c | 3,300$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.86 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed No | 70c | 3,110$2,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,180 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc907…ef28backed No | 1c | 2,788$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e5…50b0backed No | 1c | 2,777$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x962c…a90ebacked No | 1c | 2,687$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed No | 7c | 2,552$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 82 | 7.3%6 W · 76 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 12cpaid | -79.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 29c | 2,363$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,686.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e6…4e5bbacked No | 7c | 2,288$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.37 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 13c | 2,157$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.23 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x662c…bfe7backed No | 47c | 2,032$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.77 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed No | 41c | 2,002$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.96 | 205 | 49.8%102 W · 103 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9161…5a53backed No | 1c | 2,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x491a…d91bbacked Yes | 62c | 1,759$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.67 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe988…8914backed No | 10c | 1,746$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…1e17backed No | 32c | 1,621$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf5…661dbacked Yes | 26c | 1,530$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.53 | 145 | 20.7%30 W · 115 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc023…ccf8backed No | 5c | 1,500$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f5…1d9bbacked No | 2c | 1,490$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe188…c1d0backed No | 19c | 1,490$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +57.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc488…9ecdbacked No | 1c | 1,343$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cae…43d8backed No | 3c | 1,288$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.14 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Yes | 47c | 1,264$592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.37 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…5e6abacked No | 33c | 1,251$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.49 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x937e…db42backed No | 76c | 1,229$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.83 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae2d…8f7bbacked No | 15c | 1,227$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3620…229abacked No | 2c | 1,220$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7486…2f8bbacked No | 1c | 1,197$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…1512backed No | 30c | 1,162$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348.64 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…de57backed Yes | 36c | 1,112$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.59 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 25c | 1,111$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.56 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 16c | 1,087$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.27 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf71…b756backed No | 1c | 1,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc784…93cdbacked No | 3c | 1,034$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed No | 72c | 1,024$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.95 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5be7…d440backed Yes | 80c | 1,008$804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba7…fea3backed No | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +100.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dec…16f9backed No | 2c | 994.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf6c…eb44backed Yes | 66c | 878.9$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.34 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +102.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…60fcbacked No | 11c | 873.27$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked Yes | 66c | 861.62$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.03 | 48 | 83.3%40 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x585b…753fbacked No | 31c | 850$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.5 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 51c | 802.72$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.54 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed No | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34e8…6ea3backed No | 13c | 788.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -82.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 77c | 752.81$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 678 | 41.6%282 W · 396 L | -20.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2663…ed1fbacked Yes | 74c | 736.04$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.02 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c512backed No | 6c | 723.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd44e…67e2backed No | 34c | 706.3$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.94 | 212 | 59.9%127 W · 85 L | +21.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x23cc…4f5abacked No | 15c | 704.76$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.01 | 129 | 32.6%42 W · 87 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f0b…efaabacked No | 2c | 699.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…ba75backed Yes | 40c | 605.74$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…decbbacked No | 6c | 597.96$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…f9bebacked No | 4c | 587.04$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 73c | 557.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.06 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…1044backed No | 7c | 555.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 55c | 527.17$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.21 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…1a01backed No | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…c82bbacked No | 51c | 519.22$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.77 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked Yes | 73c | 516.06$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.46 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Yes | 3c | 509.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 3cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed No | 70c | 503.73$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…a976backed No | 10c | 503.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4051…0a90backed No | 33c | 500.63$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.32 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c6…cf2abacked Yes | 17c | 500$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3f…99d4backed No | 4c | 469.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…72edbacked Yes | 50c | 455.08$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.