Tennis · resolved market
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f7b38a77e886476f658d3ce5b1fa778459dfe94122e9c7eb43a1f9913b2fd04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,760
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,760 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 62c | 5,273$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,009.38 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 27c | 4,741$1,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.66 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 36c | 4,177$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.73 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e78…52b5backed Yes | 72c | 3,042$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.21 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…c1b8backed Yes | 80c | 2,382$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.34 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5f…cbbfbacked No | 40c | 1,300$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 40cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccff…e845backed Yes | 77c | 960$743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 43c | 930.68$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.86 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked No | 76c | 855.26$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…ac69backed Yes | 39c | 767.15$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.15 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed No | 72c | 659.29$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.69 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…471ebacked Yes | 80c | 614.08$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.82 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 53c | 571.6$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.6 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…7deebacked No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f2…0659backed Yes | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Yes | 66c | 492.01$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.31 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3503…b8babacked No | 73c | 462.96$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.96 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x141c…7154backed No | 21c | 444$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 25c | 399.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.99 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1421…644bbacked No | 73c | 374.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.43 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1578…fa2cbacked Yes | 28c | 355.36$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.26 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 63cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 42c | 351.22$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe88e…a7d4backed Yes | 77c | 322.77$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.8 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 49c | 314.47$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.54 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 51c | 307.74$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8d…8f77backed Yes | 59c | 300$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…d131backed No | 69c | 300$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.6 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98b0…5c7ebacked Yes | 35c | 285.95$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.72 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked No | 75c | 266.15$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b9…b28abacked No | 68c | 250$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.5 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d64…5c93backed Yes | 23c | 221.3$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x104c…a238backed Yes | 64c | 210.04$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.56 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 70cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 204 | 31.4%64 W · 140 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Yes | 30c | 189.74$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.23 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 40c | 166.67$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.29 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…ee28backed No | 80c | 150$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked Yes | 22c | 141.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.01 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…7608backed Yes | 79c | 140.15$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +115.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…e8c9backed No | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…22f4backed Yes | 66c | 122.24$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec8…620cbacked No | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…e3c0backed Yes | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Yes | 74c | 82.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.33 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…7696backed Yes | 27c | 70.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 437 | 49%214 W · 223 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 45c | 66.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…5c33backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa486…25d4backed No | 49c | 61.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1555…7d82backed Yes | 58c | 53.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 28c | 52.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.82 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0edd…3db1backed No | 76c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a9…4a40backed Yes | 78c | 37.22$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8cc…7b16backed Yes | 45c | 35.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +124.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…e582backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked No | 65c | 26.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed No | 71c | 25.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735a…3ef2backed No | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?this page
- Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Novak Djokovic?No won
- Will Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Novak Djokovic?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?No won
- Will Novak Djokovic win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?No won
- Will any other outcome occur in Sinner vs Djokovic?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.