TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1313…e5f7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Tennis, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT2673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+21.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US Open: Jannik Sinner vs Carlos Alcarazbacked Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Flavio Cobollibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+33.6%+$100.81
US Open: Karen Khachanov vs Kamil Majchrzakbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
US Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricardbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+34.3%+$137.16
US Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Borna Coricbacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$133.33
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 ATP Cincinnati?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$138.98
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Brooksbybacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+52.7%+$157.99
ATP Cincinnati - Mensik vs. Nardi backed Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
ATP Cincinnati - Tsitsipas vs. Bonzibacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Humbertbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
ATP Cincinnati - Khachanov vs. Royerbacked Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT+25.3%+$50.62
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 ATP Toronto tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+54.2%+$135.38
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+46.9%+$117.26
ATP Toronto – Zverev vs. Popyrinbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$140.54
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. Vukicbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$128.57
ATP Toronto – Muller vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
ATP Toronto – Fils vs. Carreno Bustabacked Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2025, EDT+37%+$73.97
ATP Toronto – Tiafoe vs. Watanukibacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+146.3%+$292.68
Will Jannik Sinner win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+376.2%+$150.48
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+37%+$47.69
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$21.33
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+29.9%+$11.95
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick69cpaid+18.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Braves vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Marlins vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Twins vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+40.4%+$40.45
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$56.47
Red Sox vs. Cubsbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 5 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuestbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "European Union"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-11-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$366Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$366.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Aug 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.