Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: G2 Esports vs. FlyQuest
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x31095fd4afeaae29a03fbeaa03a4f15c75ded2449b593431771397567ac413c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $138,543
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $143,485
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,543 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed FlyQuest | 45c | 21,449$9,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,568.86 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7600…4478backed G2 Esports | 40c | 8,082$3,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,809.41 | 310 | 36.1%112 W · 198 L | -18.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked G2 Esports | 40c | 5,633$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,381.78 | 90 | 20%18 W · 72 L | -13.2wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed FlyQuest | 59c | 5,183$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.94 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed FlyQuest | 60c | 4,945$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.84 | 287 | 46%132 W · 155 L | -13.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed FlyQuest | 17c | 4,901$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.77 | 72 | 30.6%22 W · 50 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed G2 Esports | 54c | 3,462$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,602.19 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b42…ae6ebacked FlyQuest | 60c | 2,548$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.25 | 164 | 39.6%65 W · 99 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked FlyQuest | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb04…1a5ebacked FlyQuest | 10c | 1,256$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 1,222$733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.2 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…3050backed G2 Esports | 44c | 1,137$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.02 | 123 | 61.8%76 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked G2 Esports | 40c | 1,117$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.15 | 1,598 | 42.4%677 W · 921 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked FlyQuest | 62c | 1,100$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684 | 796 | 53.1%423 W · 373 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed FlyQuest | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -89%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2c…407ebacked FlyQuest | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -83.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed FlyQuest | 25c | 800$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed G2 Esports | 38c | 799.99$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…3485backed FlyQuest | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecbe…42ffbacked FlyQuest | 3c | 679.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca4…8ba6backed G2 Esports | 80c | 626.61$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked FlyQuest | 59c | 558.16$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.31 | 263 | 60.1%158 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 Esports | 40c | 525$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed G2 Esports | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…bcb6backed FlyQuest | 60c | 484.7$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked FlyQuest | 62c | 427.81$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.24 | 123 | 60.2%74 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c9…d707backed FlyQuest | 53c | 400$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed G2 Esports | 77c | 363.33$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.67 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked G2 Esports | 41c | 335.45$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.92 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed G2 Esports | 45c | 327.96$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1032…77f1backed FlyQuest | 13c | 310$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.3 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed FlyQuest | 61c | 308.06$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.92 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x424c…9fcfbacked FlyQuest | 53c | 303.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e09…a4edbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 279.04$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.42 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed G2 Esports | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1156…0febbacked G2 Esports | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.9 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed G2 Esports | 40c | 243.05$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2d…1100backed G2 Esports | 41c | 222.71$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.4 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3b…0061backed FlyQuest | 57c | 214.99$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.35 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked G2 Esports | 79c | 202.96$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…6fe3backed G2 Esports | 53c | 179.21$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x832b…3ae1backed FlyQuest | 53c | 171.79$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.05 | 297 | 58.2%173 W · 124 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed FlyQuest | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed G2 Esports | 42c | 134.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07be…8bf9backed G2 Esports | 40c | 130$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked G2 Esports | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 181 | 65.7%119 W · 62 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…3acfbacked G2 Esports | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e3…ce1fbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 114.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -5.0wins | -0.29per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b9…e44ebacked G2 Esports | 47c | 110.98$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.58 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed FlyQuest | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 274 | 52.2%143 W · 131 L | +16.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…fca1backed FlyQuest | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed G2 Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd32f…ae42backed G2 Esports | 40c | 99.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.99 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +5.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb48…19b3backed FlyQuest | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…6daebacked FlyQuest | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 155 | 43.9%68 W · 87 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…8732backed FlyQuest | 60c | 66.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a10…023fbacked G2 Esports | 41c | 66.12$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc1…11a8backed G2 Esports | 41c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe2c…4ae8backed FlyQuest | 62c | 56.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…2ed5backed FlyQuest | 61c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 420 | 55.2%232 W · 188 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ea…a4b6backed G2 Esports | 42c | 42.72$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.72 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 38.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.46 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6528…8aefbacked FlyQuest | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | -7.6wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0457…99bebacked FlyQuest | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…8d1bbacked FlyQuest | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -6.3wins | -0.12per pick | 67cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc1…cecbbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 30.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 37cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b12…91f9backed FlyQuest | 60c | 29.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa33f…fedbbacked FlyQuest | 46c | 29.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed G2 Esports | 40c | 28.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 525 | 38.9%204 W · 321 L | +18.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe26d…3611backed G2 Esports | 75c | 27.87$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e8…2688backed G2 Esports | 45c | 26.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.62 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe091…7621backed FlyQuest | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.