Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57eef450501c7118264bd9767e016cb64f3e472620c3ee6bdd75b2f00d307ab3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $521,132
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $497,712
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $521,132 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 354 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49f3…76fbbacked No | 51c | 50,667$25,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,803.42 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed No | 60c | 50,335$30,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,296.45 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe900…ee2ebacked Yes | 55c | 28,951$15,836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,835.71 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fe…ce76backed Yes | 39c | 22,961$8,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,944.33 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | +13.9wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +36%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd46b…5dabbacked Yes | 66c | 21,895$14,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,428.39 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +21%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3a6…8c44backed No | 53c | 16,096$8,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,524.71 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…b491backed No | 58c | 14,692$8,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,186.79 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +18%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed Yes | 19c | 12,595$2,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,421.9 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 31c | 12,060$3,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,694.41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…2b5bbacked No | 47c | 10,705$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,705.06 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 13c | 10,229$1,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,372.88 | 428 | 18.7%80 W · 348 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1af…d889backed Yes | 8c | 7,936$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 38 | 7.9%3 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0301…aa15backed Yes | 61c | 7,855$4,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,755.03 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 3c | 7,418$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.28 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea41…1c98backed Yes | 56c | 5,582$3,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,121.94 | 333 | 37.5%125 W · 208 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed Yes | 48c | 5,014$2,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,390.82 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…7f5cbacked Yes | 1c | 5,000$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 8c | 4,841$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.92 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…3307backed Yes | 30c | 4,499$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.66 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8083…f2abbacked No | 54c | 4,336$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fbd4backed Yes | 61c | 4,157$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.49 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 17c | 4,065$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.54 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…e514backed No | 51c | 3,923$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3164…3033backed No | 55c | 3,884$2,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,732.9 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a8…fe2ebacked No | 54c | 3,847$2,061 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,785.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…6a81backed Yes | 9c | 3,517$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.64 | 432 | 12.5%54 W · 378 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4158…ce9fbacked Yes | 11c | 3,332$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.55 | 473 | 34%161 W · 312 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…0105backed Yes | 60c | 3,319$2,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,008.11 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x008a…21a8backed No | 55c | 3,209$1,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.33 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a8…00c7backed No | 40c | 3,096$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,870.72 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63bf…e319backed Yes | 63c | 3,075$1,926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,925.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 3,065$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 207 | 8.2%17 W · 190 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -88.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d6…a48cbacked Yes | 2c | 3,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 18cpaid | -63.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 37c | 2,940$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.26 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x922f…69d4backed Yes | 59c | 2,609$1,539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.29 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2f…4adbbacked No | 40c | 2,520$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,519.95 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed No | 63c | 2,458$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$902.24 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 39c | 2,442$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.86 | 48 | 14.6%7 W · 41 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -67.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037a…c53ebacked No | 67c | 2,378$1,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.7 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 59cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa591…9079backed Yes | 2c | 2,369$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 69 | 65.2%45 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 54c | 2,165$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.33 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda58…7ba8backed Yes | 3c | 2,069$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…203abacked No | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f2…0c24backed Yes | 5c | 1,822$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9e…4580backed Yes | 4c | 1,718$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 31cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…2945backed No | 46c | 1,716$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,705$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 40 | 2.5%1 W · 39 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac80…ed65backed No | 70c | 1,553$1,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.55 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed No | 50c | 1,527$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.63 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe967…f62bbacked No | 46c | 1,526$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.08 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…92e0backed No | 47c | 1,503$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.58 | 77 | 41.6%32 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d4…fb37backed No | 36c | 1,500$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.3 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.22per pick | 60cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.99 | 179 | 31.3%56 W · 123 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65bf…4b91backed Yes | 2c | 1,488$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 92 | 17.4%16 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 7c | 1,456$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.28 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 31c | 1,455$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.78 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 67c | 1,450$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.49 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed No | 46c | 1,410$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.93 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked No | 52c | 1,398$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.47 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed No | 45c | 1,373$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.62 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1b3…1426backed Yes | 46c | 1,338$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.06 | 133 | 60.9%81 W · 52 L | +18.4wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0c97…1b68backed Yes | 56c | 1,302$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.72 | 70 | 40%28 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 25c | 1,295$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.54 | 776 | 36.9%286 W · 490 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc0…8a4dbacked No | 41c | 1,286$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.28 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -76.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88f1…5c9dbacked No | 33c | 1,280$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.6 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5372…4b1fbacked No | 64c | 1,270$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f58…5ff2backed Yes | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +22%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 5c | 1,175$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a83…b4dcbacked Yes | 4c | 1,161$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e3…9d7ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,156$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed Yes | 40c | 1,062$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.45 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 54c | 1,049$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.98 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…1828backed Yes | 4c | 961$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a26…a80fbacked No | 54c | 958.7$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…0425backed No | 45c | 945.8$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.96 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ff…e0b8backed No | 47c | 918.68$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.69 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37ef…a37abacked No | 24c | 850.61$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.56 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked Yes | 2c | 848.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 121 | 38.8%47 W · 74 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e78…e415backed Yes | 7c | 822.05$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x078b…036ebacked Yes | 2c | 822.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b7e…79e5backed No | 38c | 798.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.67 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f3…99e9backed No | 68c | 794.63$538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…dd08backed Yes | 63c | 794.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed No | 74c | 776.99$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.02 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6827…fe59backed Yes | 9c | 770$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ec…1dadbacked No | 76c | 764.93$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.89 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2e…8fc7backed Yes | 14c | 743.83$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.02 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…020fbacked No | 67c | 735.29$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…865ebacked No | 57c | 730.26$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.05 | 179 | 34.6%62 W · 117 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…ff1dbacked Yes | 4c | 729.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…1047backed No | 78c | 728.4$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee95…378ebacked No | 42c | 711.23$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc085…82fabacked No | 75c | 706.49$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.53 | 69 | 29%20 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe919…96d4backed No | 73c | 685.78$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…4ac4backed Yes | 60c | 660$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf4d…44cabacked No | 40c | 660$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32f…4f6cbacked No | 46c | 657$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…b493backed No | 36c | 645.42$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.42 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…f347backed Yes | 4c | 631$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 37c | 629.74$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.19 | 138 | 29%40 W · 98 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.