Tennis · resolved market
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger Aliassime
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x65d65bb847428fc9f29e84856743bf956f20a4dec16747d1bf17f7be0fbffc2b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aliassimeof Zverev, Aliassime
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $126,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $129,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Aliassime | 21c | 25,555$5,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,188.44 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…647ebacked Zverev | 79c | 22,369$17,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,671.34 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -3.6wins | -0.20per pick | 25cpaid | -89.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Zverev | 7c | 14,324$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.52 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x979f…4032backed Zverev | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 101 | 62.4%63 W · 38 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Aliassime | 25c | 8,387$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,325.18 | 99 | 35.4%35 W · 64 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Zverev | 66c | 5,873$3,886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,885.68 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Aliassime | 28c | 4,691$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.12 | 321 | 41.1%132 W · 189 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…5bd1backed Zverev | 79c | 3,407$2,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,689.81 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…69eebacked Zverev | 48c | 2,915$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,410.99 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…9daabacked Aliassime | 59c | 2,803$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.64 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zverev | 74c | 2,801$2,086 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,086.06 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Aliassime | 39c | 2,784$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,711.14 | 178 | 33.1%59 W · 119 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e7…e35fbacked Zverev | 68c | 2,190$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,496.9 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Aliassime | 43c | 2,134$921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.65 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Zverev | 69c | 1,776$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.28 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…8d3cbacked Zverev | 75c | 1,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1797…baa7backed Zverev | 58c | 1,350$778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$777.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Aliassime | 18c | 1,100$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.02 | 145 | 40.7%59 W · 86 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e67…91b0backed Zverev | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fc7…969bbacked Aliassime | 26c | 899.97$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.98 | 124 | 39.5%49 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Aliassime | 14c | 805.43$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.44 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…e0bdbacked Zverev | 77c | 699.99$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.99 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Zverev | 77c | 680.46$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.96 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…5897backed Aliassime | 52c | 665.57$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.47 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…e5f7backed Zverev | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Aliassime | 71c | 625.35$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Aliassime | 24c | 600$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.2 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Zverev | 56c | 539.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 54.7%117 W · 97 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Aliassime | 47c | 505.43$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.02 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Aliassime | 50c | 446.35$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.19 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27a9…8781backed Zverev | 77c | 427.22$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.96 | 154 | 39.6%61 W · 93 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Aliassime | 39c | 413.49$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.23 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Aliassime | 27c | 370.72$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.72 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Aliassime | 23c | 368.83$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac4…a55dbacked Zverev | 78c | 335.9$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.27per pick | 54cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Aliassime | 22c | 327.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.08 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked Zverev | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda10…ffeabacked Zverev | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ef4…0293backed Aliassime | 51c | 313.36$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Aliassime | 32c | 310.5$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.14 | 129 | 49.6%64 W · 65 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d0…8dcebacked Aliassime | 19c | 300$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.31 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…8c2bbacked Zverev | 56c | 280.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.56 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Zverev | 44c | 237.02$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Zverev | 77c | 208.43$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.49 | 148 | 50%74 W · 74 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad98…8733backed Aliassime | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.65 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 24cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f96…56c1backed Zverev | 63c | 180$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x70d2…f395backed Zverev | 51c | 160$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Zverev | 79c | 156.2$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.4 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Zverev | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 383 | 56.9%218 W · 165 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5893…a699backed Zverev | 77c | 130$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d38…fc8ebacked Aliassime | 22c | 120.29$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…d663backed Zverev | 44c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x64e3…e3f5backed Aliassime | 22c | 112.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Aliassime | 18c | 112.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.22 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b2…273bbacked Aliassime | 47c | 109.76$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.41 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Aliassime | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Zverev | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.19per pick | 42cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…ff35backed Zverev | 51c | 95.56$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked Zverev | 76c | 80$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4d8ebacked Zverev | 74c | 78.07$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ec…6b20backed Zverev | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb53…c50bbacked Aliassime | 29c | 68.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.06 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c590backed Zverev | 75c | 60$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Aliassime | 42c | 55.97$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Aliassime | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.56 | 512 | 43%220 W · 292 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ac55backed Zverev | 77c | 44.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Zverev | 75c | 41.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.08 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zverev | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Zverev | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10a3…ae13backed Zverev | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Zverev | 48c | 23.51$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 85 | 55.3%47 W · 38 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa14f…2240backed Zverev | 74c | 20.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Zverev | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…3250backed Zverev | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -74.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.