TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x75ec…6b20

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst MLB at 35.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST9664.6%62 W · 34 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$760Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+75.4%+$573.11
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+40.3%+$318.05
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Karol G perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+129.3%+$25.86
Will Coinbase run an Ad during Super Bowl LX?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+78.6%+$157.14
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+47.8%+$125.92
Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$50
49ers vs. Seahawksbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will the Bills win the AFC Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$221
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$150
Falcons vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Texans vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$21.14
LAR vs. Cardinalsbacked LAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+25%+$25
Bears vs. Packersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Broncos vs. Raidersbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+26.6%+$53.16
Bengals vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+49.3%+$49.25
Titans vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Steelers vs. Ravensbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+56.3%+$22.5
Colts vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+75.4%+$75.44
Saints vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Seahawks vs. Falconsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$13.33
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT2433.3%8 W · 16 L-6.5wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Detroit Tigers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Yankees vs. White Soxbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.28
Pirates vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Mariners vs. Rangersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Padres vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Blue Jays vs. Red Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Rays vs. Oriolesbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Cardinals vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.73
Rockies vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$34.29
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$16.66
Marlins vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Nationals vs. Angelsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Royalsbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Cubs vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.22
Giants vs. White Soxbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$36.77
Mets vs. Piratesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Athletics vs. Yankeesbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
All 24 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$22.63
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advancebacked Croatia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal to score first vs. Croatia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Portugal vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.67
United States to score first vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$10.54
United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$112.82
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$282.98
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+30.4%+$60.79
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.57
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+70.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.19
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$85.26
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$32.73
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$98.82
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Will the New York Knicks win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2025, EDT+203%+$203.03
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+40.8%+$8.17
All 11 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+284.6%+$56.92
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Marketa Vondrousovabacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
US Open: Alexander Bublik vs Tommy Paulbacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
US Open: Alexander Zverev vs Felix Auger Aliassimebacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
US Open: Taylor Townsend vs Mirra Andreevabacked Townsend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Wimbledon: Sinner vs. Djokovic backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 French Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+100%+$300
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 28, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick19cpaid+446.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2024, EST+58.7%+$10.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-Francebacked Pantoja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$179.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2024, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool vs. Fulham end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2024, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.