MLB · resolved market
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe17e852e9ab2395d6581588851004be05a71648a589eadb2e04e215b1a86b36c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marlinsof Marlins, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $473,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $488,615
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 330,000$201,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201,300 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Marlins | 39c | 193,769$75,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118,199.33 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Marlins | 39c | 88,843$34,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,331.26 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Marlins | 39c | 50,000$19,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,500 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Marlins | 38c | 16,495$6,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,227.12 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 12,787$4,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,911.34 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…abbabacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 11,290$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 48c | 9,622$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.66 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 5,500$3,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,409.76 | 158 | 51.9%82 W · 76 L | -12.5wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Marlins | 77c | 5,387$4,148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.63 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x704a…7c42backed Marlins | 38c | 5,022$1,905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Marlins | 57c | 4,864$2,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.85 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x659c…8dfcbacked Marlins | 75c | 4,512$3,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,122.25 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Marlins | 65c | 3,268$2,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.69 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 3,080$1,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,918.43 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Marlins | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fa0…7894backed Marlins | 70c | 2,485$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.91 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Diamondbacks | 35c | 2,260$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.34 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Marlins | 41c | 2,222$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,321.83 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Marlins | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.93 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,922$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Diamondbacks | 61c | 1,839$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.05 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,822$1,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,123.74 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Diamondbacks | 41c | 1,793$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.3 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Marlins | 52c | 1,721$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.25 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Diamondbacks | 54c | 1,563$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Marlins | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 98 | 62.2%61 W · 37 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 69cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 1,411$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$874.82 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Diamondbacks | 46c | 1,327$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.29 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Marlins | 38c | 1,315$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.3 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58fd…0e7ebacked Marlins | 40c | 1,250$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +76.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marlins | 63c | 1,130$709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.87 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Marlins | 77c | 1,129$869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…b3d7backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 1,122$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.52 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -5.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Marlins | 54c | 1,074$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.93 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Marlins | 68c | 1,068$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.83 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Diamondbacks | 39c | 1,026$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.2 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Marlins | 39c | 1,000$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$610 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…b741backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1162…1a5bbacked Marlins | 38c | 999.99$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.99 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Marlins | 37c | 999.9$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.94 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Marlins | 37c | 977.29$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.69 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Marlins | 63c | 915.99$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.99 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Marlins | 39c | 906.1$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.88 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 876.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 806.45$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Marlins | 72c | 754$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.12 | 149 | 66.4%99 W · 50 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…bd35backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 740$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +22%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044c…a476backed Marlins | 72c | 697.06$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.06 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Marlins | 37c | 514.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.89 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marlins | 54c | 508.37$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.37 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Diamondbacks | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 483.91$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.74 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Marlins | 66c | 450$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.16 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 431.65$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.62 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Diamondbacks | 27c | 409.65$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 349.99$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Marlins | 38c | 329.08$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.34 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ef…9e7abacked Diamondbacks | 20c | 319.85$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.97 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Diamondbacks | 7c | 314.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Diamondbacks | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Marlins | 37c | 303$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.89 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Marlins | 56c | 299.22$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.53 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca94…336ebacked Marlins | 69c | 290.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.2 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 288.81$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.95 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 285.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.18 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Diamondbacks | 37c | 284$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Marlins | 47c | 274.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.67 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Marlins | 39c | 270$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Marlins | 38c | 264$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.68 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45db…51c6backed Diamondbacks | 40c | 249.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.95 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Diamondbacks | 17c | 243.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.2 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Marlins | 37c | 240$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.63 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Marlins | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Diamondbacks | 25c | 238.01$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.95 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Marlins | 70c | 236$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.37 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…580dbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 235.33$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.26 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…ba09backed Marlins | 61c | 219$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.41 | 179 | 27.9%50 W · 129 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Marlins | 39c | 207.56$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Diamondbacks | 31c | 203.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Marlins | 38c | 200$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Marlins | 38c | 200$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Diamondbacks | 38c | 179.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Marlins | 48c | 175.02$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.06 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Diamondbacks | 36c | 167.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Diamondbacks | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -9.8wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe597…077cbacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Diamondbacks | 63c | 157.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Diamondbacks | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4eee…2782backed Marlins | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.68 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Marlins | 73c | 148.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.14 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…10acbacked Diamondbacks | 42c | 143.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Diamondbacks | 53c | 135.26$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.58 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Marlins | 44c | 130.68$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Marlins | 70c | 130$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 540 | 48.3%261 W · 279 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Diamondbacks | 61c | 129$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec41…1134backed Marlins | 78c | 128.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Marlins | 40c | 125$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 478 | 50.4%241 W · 237 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Marlins | 39c | 121.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.08 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.