TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Giants vs. White Sox

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
White Soxof Giants, White Sox
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$88,234
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$100,539

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,234 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Giants33c12,124$3,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,956.222,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cfb…df99backed White Sox48c10,377$4,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,408.45955.6%5 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox50c6,502$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,251.979,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fa0…7894backed Giants53c4,321$2,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,289.837455.4%41 W · 33 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Giants49c3,829$1,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,871.122236.4%8 W · 14 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick55cpaid-32.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked White Sox39c3,015$1,176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,838.961,15349.2%567 W · 586 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Giants58c3,000$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,74032852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Giants26c2,698$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.986751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8468…10c2backed Giants46c2,454$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.712941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-23.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox40c2,363$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.712,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Giants61c2,295$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40069249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Giants40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,25052.2%653 W · 597 L-5.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa581…45b2backed Giants60c1,915$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,15011463.2%72 W · 42 L+7.1wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x08f1…8f37backed Giants60c1,707$1,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02440%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed White Sox40c1,705$682 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,023580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+99.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Giants18c1,626$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30019348.7%94 W · 99 L+15.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed White Sox40c999.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed White Sox57c988.34$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$424.140547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked White Sox74c839$617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.5965549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox58c781.14$451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.6854941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1162…1a5bbacked Giants60c672.64$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.361747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88a1…ad45backed White Sox41c660$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.426355.5%146 W · 117 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2728…4f96backed Giants46c652.17$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30053448.9%261 W · 273 L-1.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Giants51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30625550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Giants60c591.65$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.9950852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox41c540$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.91,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c6…be32backed Giants53c509.2$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.8213946.8%65 W · 74 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe895…c3dabacked Giants55c444.99$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.6445248.2%218 W · 234 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked White Sox56c316.24$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.252,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed White Sox39c307.96$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.8644443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f8b…b3d7backed Giants17c301.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.775633.9%19 W · 37 L-5.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-27.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Giants57c291.94$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.396133.9%326 W · 635 L-38.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5ef…9e7abacked Giants61c271.66$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7112640.5%51 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Giants33c269.15$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.5151334.5%177 W · 336 L-31.2wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Giants54c263.25$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.91,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox46c262.14$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5270841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Giants39c252.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.324,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x88cf…7d31backed White Sox40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15019849.5%98 W · 100 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Giants59c243.92$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.911,48350.2%745 W · 738 L+5.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3372…1914backed Giants43c227.29$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.761,39655.2%770 W · 626 L-28.3wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked White Sox45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2239436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Giants56c214.68$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12017754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd386…1887backed Giants47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019233.3%64 W · 128 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Giants60c200$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203,30346.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L+22.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Giants61c200$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12292754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed White Sox72c181$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.261,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x266f…caedbacked Giants61c177$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4b2a…2618backed White Sox40c177$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1843…fb74backed Giants61c172$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x17b2…9d97backed Giants60c167.07$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-42.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Giants60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Giants60c166.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Giants61c164.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3927…82abbacked White Sox40c152$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Giants61c150$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.562346.2%288 W · 335 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ec…0b01backed Giants61c146$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Giants51c145.88$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742540%10 W · 15 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95ec…4b7ebacked White Sox42c139.22$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.2238743.2%167 W · 220 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50bb…c876backed White Sox45c134.54$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.585642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc4a6…05fdbacked White Sox40c134$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f9a…06d0backed White Sox80c129.7$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.5317866.3%118 W · 60 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…f99abacked Giants61c125$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75ec…6b20backed Giants60c117.89$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.732433.3%8 W · 16 L-6.5wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-44.8%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Giants31c112.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e6c…178cbacked Giants51c111.76$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Giants60c111.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.684938.8%19 W · 30 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-28%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0119…c14abacked Giants18c111.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20825%2 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick16cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…e520backed White Sox40c111$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.627953.4%149 W · 130 L+16.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Giants59c110.65$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed White Sox47c109.8$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.0297950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac46…ca4abacked Giants22c106.03$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7516…c308backed Giants38c104.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.20per pick48cpaid-49.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16af…d9a9backed White Sox40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed White Sox54c100$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4638249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8290…7fa3backed Giants62c95.76$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.371668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed White Sox44c90.66$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.6624953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x051d…6980backed White Sox48c87.2$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.7620343.8%89 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed White Sox49c78.39$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7642955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf391…73c3backed Giants60c62.5$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.529552.2%154 W · 141 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1540…c588backed Giants16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked White Sox61c61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.7968769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Giants39c61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.796,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Giants60c60$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3640629.1%118 W · 288 L-2.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-42.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0477…d723backed White Sox40c57$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd402…5a50backed Giants61c52.7$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.157054.3%38 W · 32 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60ab…d681backed Giants60c51.67$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3174356.9%423 W · 320 L-12.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a90…8218backed Giants50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2524751%126 W · 121 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d5f…84bfbacked Giants60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,05550.3%531 W · 524 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a00…c3cbbacked White Sox70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156363.5%40 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c4…7efbbacked Giants22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cc…a23abacked White Sox40c49.94$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9650447.2%238 W · 266 L+29.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2272…2e9cbacked White Sox39c46.88$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.666250.2%332 W · 330 L+13.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97da…d63bbacked White Sox41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.68052.5%42 W · 38 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5992…9e40backed Giants53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce09…6b0bbacked Giants59c33.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205147.1%24 W · 27 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed White Sox40c33.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21,46644.1%647 W · 819 L+44.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bb6…7319backed Giants60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Giants60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,20348.5%584 W · 619 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd156…13b1backed Giants61c33.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.231861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.