TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x179c…2d61

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst NFL at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trail Blazers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,024Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+51.5%+$527.64
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$377.52
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.7
Hornets vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$487.59
Hornets vs. Spursbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2025, EDT+150%+$30
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$241Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2025, EST-100%-$240.64
Clippers vs. Bucksbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST+78.6%+$19.93
Hawks vs. Bucksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2024, EST+156.4%+$24.1
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2024, EST-100%-$20
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 15, 2025, EST955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2025, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-29.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vikings vs. Ramsbacked Vikings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2025, EST-100%-$28.78
Eagles vs. Commandersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2024, EST-100%-$27.8
Bills vs. Lionsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2024, EST+127.3%+$22.15
Buccaneers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2024, EST-100%-$12.36
Cardinals vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2024, EST+96.1%+$14.86
Chiefs vs. Billsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2024, EST-100%-$18.88
All 6 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.40per pick40cpaid+99.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$623.1
Giants vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$682Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+150%+$1,023
Nationals vs. Dodgersbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$438Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$1,021.65
Giants vs. Dodgersbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$655Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$1,025.08
White Sox vs. Metsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$421Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$421.08
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+93.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New Mexico State vs. Western Kentuckybacked New Mexico State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$372.58
UCLA vs. Michigan Statebacked UCLA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+257.1%+$1,023.84
Georgia Tech vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2024, EST+123.8%+$25.79
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Dec 16, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3)backed LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,051Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$450.49
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs FlyQuest (BO1)backed Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.85
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs TYLOO (BO3)backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+185.7%+$1,002.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$872Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$1,024.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BSC Young Boys win on 2025-10-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,001Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,001.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Incarnate Word Cardinals vs. Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islandersbacked Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,020.3
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.