TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hornetsof Hornets, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$309,131
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$322,448

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $309,131 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 703 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x69b1…1ea7backed Hornets43c106,748$45,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,846.362100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+104%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5dc…5104backed Spurs57c106,748$60,846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60,846.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47a…fd11backed Hornets66c20,359$13,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,906.75261.5%32 W · 20 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5314…910cbacked Spurs41c13,505$5,539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,538.7133931.9%108 W · 231 L-28.5wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-37.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hornets38c10,000$3,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,2001,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Hornets43c7,679$3,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,377.2533752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40e3…0787backed Spurs20c5,643$1,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,135.634532.8%113 W · 232 L-16.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs3c5,048$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.248783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e82…752cbacked Hornets42c5,036$2,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,904.41,20455.3%666 W · 538 L+52.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Spurs0c5,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Spurs58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,899.9836057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs57c4,799$2,756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,755.6120238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Hornets43c3,825$1,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,188.2293036.5%339 W · 591 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs1c3,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Spurs23c2,008$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.6870640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Spurs62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2401,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x994e…9cf5backed Hornets43c2,000$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,15061345.5%279 W · 334 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x221f…6be8backed Hornets40c2,000$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9929747.5%141 W · 156 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Hornets42c2,000$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,159.9696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0712…f71bbacked Spurs60c1,833$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1009247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs1c1,800$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.64573.5%16 W · 441 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Spurs56c1,686$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$944.7550245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2a…ca37backed Spurs60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008851.1%45 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Spurs20c1,519$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.945,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9598…1fd2backed Spurs57c1,500$855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c95…0a3abacked Hornets43c1,498$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$853.843542.9%15 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Spurs1c1,372$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.887502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd44c…ab91backed Hornets43c1,202$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.3928347.7%135 W · 148 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5613…10c9backed Hornets43c1,200$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74cf…8833backed Spurs57c1,200$684 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.991145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Hornets42c1,153$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.011,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Spurs58c1,149$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.8373051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs62c1,111$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8973647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Spurs57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Spurs57c1,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5701,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x39dc…8d05backed Spurs57c964.07$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55014051.4%72 W · 68 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe0…d994backed Hornets34c934$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.4437448.7%182 W · 192 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets42c781.92$328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.511,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Spurs56c706.3$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.0361835.4%219 W · 399 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe206…38cebacked Spurs60c666.67$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023554.5%128 W · 107 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Spurs57c656$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.9277745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe59…a131backed Spurs59c649.98$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9915365.4%100 W · 53 L-0.2wins0.00per pick66cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Spurs25c635.39$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.183,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x502b…a1d5backed Hornets53c600$318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28225039.6%99 W · 151 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6163…8507backed Spurs12c600$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7434551.3%177 W · 168 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xadbe…bc55backed Spurs56c599.98$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.9950453.8%271 W · 233 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Hornets42c595.24$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2417044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x174f…71a8backed Spurs59c580$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.230%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe654…b727backed Hornets41c580$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.22100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf62d…d3a0backed Hornets44c568.18$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.1829643.2%128 W · 168 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Spurs57c512.17$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.437734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Spurs59c500$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2957549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Hornets41c500$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2958442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hornets43c499$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.4357760.5%349 W · 228 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Hornets43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.1212759.8%76 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8223…64c4backed Hornets43c465.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.122100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c2e…84cebacked Spurs58c456.9$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs59c424.67$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.5623135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9738backed Spurs5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2095848.7%467 W · 491 L+24.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb3…e68cbacked Hornets44c367$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.5235050.6%177 W · 173 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Hornets43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.52,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bff…331cbacked Hornets68c350$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.753542.9%15 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7662…356bbacked Spurs58c341.06$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.8245743.3%198 W · 259 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Spurs55c328$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.41,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x91ed…e60abacked Spurs8c325$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2615316.3%25 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-43.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs62c280.95$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.7885542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49d1…7b96backed Hornets36c275$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17624147.3%114 W · 127 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x854f…00a7backed Spurs33c265.2$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.7247229.4%139 W · 333 L-33.1wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Spurs57c263.16$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Hornets41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.989353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ea5…2af9backed Hornets43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5613959%82 W · 57 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-6.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Hornets43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.5612659.5%75 W · 51 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Hornets44c227.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2747048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…4dc6backed Spurs58c218.43$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12611956.3%67 W · 52 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Spurs45c209.82$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2388053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd446…acacbacked Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145263.5%33 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb6…71b9backed Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f37…6c72backed Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145756.1%32 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x951c…97d8backed Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145735.1%20 W · 37 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-31.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc499…a566backed Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1146154.1%33 W · 28 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63d6…86bdbacked Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x950b…6d88backed Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126341.3%26 W · 37 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1462…17d0backed Spurs56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125360.4%32 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa379…789cbacked Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdddc…3ab5backed Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126346%29 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacea…446cbacked Spurs56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125560%33 W · 22 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+16.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7458…2f77backed Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145745.6%26 W · 31 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8119…59debacked Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126259.7%37 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160e…cf5fbacked Spurs56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1126043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…994bbacked Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6906…c107backed Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1125664.3%36 W · 20 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb54d…499fbacked Hornets43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1145752.6%30 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80c…c103backed Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126338.1%24 W · 39 L-7.4wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-29.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e80…b69dbacked Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126552.3%34 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaca8…0673backed Spurs56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1125743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf143…527dbacked Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7b23…3e0ebacked Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145561.8%34 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x090f…60b0backed Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145949.2%29 W · 30 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x263e…c045backed Spurs57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1145642.9%24 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc185…4d8abacked Hornets44c200$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126339.7%25 W · 38 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.