Premier League · resolved market
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30227bd00bbb27764881c10cd6803d8368368af0135855689d1ca22f05c94972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $54,570
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,570 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 36c | 40,000$14,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,400 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 64c | 18,327$11,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,597.86 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 65c | 10,169$6,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,596.2 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 65c | 4,514$2,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 67c | 3,030$2,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.61 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked No | 64c | 2,605$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.69 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…5237backed Yes | 35c | 1,710$598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a73…d55dbacked No | 67c | 1,591$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…ba57backed Yes | 33c | 1,589$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.37 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed No | 67c | 1,502$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495.71 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf6…7ec7backed Yes | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 27c | 946.16$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.17 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed No | 65c | 769.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 29c | 651.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.13 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb963…fc11backed Yes | 35c | 583$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 64c | 489$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.94 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed No | 64c | 451.26$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 584 | 45.9%268 W · 316 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a0b…0d3bbacked No | 65c | 390.59$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 64c | 342.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.16 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2baa…e6dbbacked Yes | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd22c…5674backed No | 65c | 300$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a9c…598dbacked No | 67c | 262.6$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.66 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 64c | 244.95$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.33 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 65c | 154.4$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.04 | 1,006 | 46.6%469 W · 537 L | -20.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 150$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed6…ea5abacked No | 65c | 130$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 39c | 116.87$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32b3…67cdbacked No | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 33c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 845 | 49%414 W · 431 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…0fccbacked Yes | 36c | 55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 34c | 49.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed No | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 85 | 63.5%54 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc97a…dbe3backed Yes | 35c | 31.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 65c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.75 | 577 | 44.4%256 W · 321 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d3…432abacked No | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 78 | 66.7%52 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd92a…31ebbacked No | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2025-11-25?this page
- Will Coventry City FC win on 2025-11-25?Yes won
- Will Middlesbrough FC vs. Coventry City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.