TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Mavericks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$262,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,974

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $262,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3b1…6f55backed Mavericks17c23,844$4,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,032.3420238.6%78 W · 124 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Mavericks17c20,055$3,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,388.1828241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69fb…1ccdbacked Mavericks15c10,607$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.21per pick41cpaid-69.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x997b…801ebacked Mavericks17c9,240$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,589.1846131%143 W · 318 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed Mavericks19c7,699$1,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,462.8633752.5%177 W · 160 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mavericks19c6,866$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,299.711,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Mavericks1c6,675$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.538783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Mavericks3c5,801$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.011,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0564…ce95backed Mavericks17c5,789$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.914721.3%10 W · 37 L-7.5wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-41.1%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Mavericks19c5,425$1,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,015.6377745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Mavericks16c5,249$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.813,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69f3…db29backed Mavericks0c5,200$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12419.8%4 W · 37 L-0.2wins0.00per pick10cpaid-81.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1990…e954backed Mavericks19c4,377$817 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$816.953119.4%6 W · 25 L-3.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-36.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd78d…60bebacked Mavericks0c3,630$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5225016.8%42 W · 208 L-13.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90b6…1d6bbacked Mavericks17c3,221$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.3450245.8%230 W · 272 L+2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd3…3e17backed Mavericks10c3,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300520%1 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Mavericks19c3,000$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.9640627.8%113 W · 293 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e79…56dcbacked Mavericks17c2,500$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42514438.9%56 W · 88 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks1c2,400$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.57502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1187…cb53backed Mavericks16c2,083$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.279836.7%36 W · 62 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Mavericks20c2,000$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.371,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Mavericks2c1,762$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.241,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Mavericks14c1,712$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Mavericks19c1,617$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.7985347.9%409 W · 444 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Mavericks17c1,533$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.7273647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Mavericks18c1,458$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.3773051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ec…6064backed Mavericks18c1,350$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.9913929.5%41 W · 98 L+0.5wins0.00per pick29cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7096…e019backed Mavericks2c1,300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030061.7%185 W · 115 L+23.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed Mavericks19c1,266$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.641050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x36a6…52c7backed Mavericks5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031125.1%78 W · 233 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x73f0…3d28backed Mavericks17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17036434.9%127 W · 237 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb215…b819backed Mavericks20c1,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20026124.1%63 W · 198 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-18.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fe8…56a3backed Mavericks21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21032130.2%97 W · 224 L-0.8wins0.00per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Mavericks17c976$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0587647.5%416 W · 460 L+3.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dd9…2af2backed Mavericks16c937.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504936.7%18 W · 31 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf04f…a8c4backed Mavericks18c874.19$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.3222733%75 W · 152 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf908…ded2backed Mavericks19c784.21$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50ea…c102backed Mavericks17c777.88$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-67.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe06…d5d5backed Mavericks18c772.22$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1397143.7%31 W · 40 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d6…65d3backed Mavericks20c770$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x863a…2b7bbacked Mavericks17c735.29$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Mavericks2c732.98$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.945502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6a…3eedbacked Mavericks16c668.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.5727735.4%98 W · 179 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c56…5a66backed Mavericks16c625.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011040.9%45 W · 65 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4277…276cbacked Mavericks19c621.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec5c…ce46backed Mavericks14c591.27$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.5145135%158 W · 293 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xed91…4bd6backed Mavericks17c588.24$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006334.9%22 W · 41 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Mavericks18c555.56$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10089353%473 W · 420 L+1.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c02…b4d4backed Mavericks16c553.36$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8633639%131 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe727…a39cbacked Mavericks4c538.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1965726%171 W · 486 L+2.3wins0.00per pick26cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Mavericks18c526.73$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.8119845.5%90 W · 108 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Mavericks13c514.38$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.471,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa112…d215backed Mavericks19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953435.3%12 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9c2…1f15backed Mavericks20c471$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.24755.3%26 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Mavericks17c467.65$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.536643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Mavericks22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,88837.3%704 W · 1,184 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9730…4504backed Mavericks4c433.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199334.4%32 W · 61 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x42e0…0578backed Bucks75c425$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.7520553.7%110 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9353…cdbebacked Mavericks19c400$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7668642.1%289 W · 397 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Mavericks19c400$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.3785542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Mavericks16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6430641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Mavericks18c399.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7093041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e6…79b5backed Bucks80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7534169.5%237 W · 104 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66fc…1b50backed Mavericks20c315$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…7a1bbacked Mavericks27c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8116928.4%48 W · 121 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3541…c96dbacked Mavericks17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024329.6%72 W · 171 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Mavericks18c278$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.04650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Mavericks18c277.78$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec46…d3bdbacked Mavericks19c260$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick22cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Bucks80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503464.7%22 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Mavericks11c250$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2736514.2%52 W · 313 L+0.1wins0.00per pick14cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Mavericks17c249$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1373445.5%334 W · 400 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Mavericks17c236$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.1262349.6%309 W · 314 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab3c…5093backed Mavericks16c230$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.815538.1%59 W · 96 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+13.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2799…ae03backed Mavericks17c228.76$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40170%0 W · 17 L-3.9wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7308…8058backed Mavericks22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509245.7%42 W · 50 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…edf8backed Mavericks17c226.16$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4510643.4%46 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e75…523fbacked Mavericks21c224$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61ea…d0c1backed Mavericks18c222.22$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4013727.7%38 W · 99 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Mavericks17c215$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5526040%104 W · 156 L-7.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e83…a4a0backed Mavericks19c210.53$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4019038.4%73 W · 117 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d28…b20ebacked Mavericks19c207.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.351747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25c…ae63backed Mavericks17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3440448.3%195 W · 209 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d49…9ba0backed Bucks79c185$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.85475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+11.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a1f…0227backed Mavericks19c182.68$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.713852.6%20 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f64…5fdcbacked Bucks80c181$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fa…3b79backed Bucks80c164$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480c…81f2backed Mavericks17c157.35$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.75742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f40…2372backed Bucks75c155$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.753100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+50.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x824e…a9b6backed Mavericks19c142.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.124949%24 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaf76…7202backed Mavericks18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-17.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3800…cc79backed Bucks80c133$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed Mavericks17c127.31$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.1170951.3%364 W · 345 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18fb…4ee0backed Mavericks18c126$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf86…601fbacked Mavericks20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2550144.7%224 W · 277 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a46…0667backed Mavericks18c125$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.52347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Mavericks20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2534548.7%168 W · 177 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xacb5…eb0abacked Mavericks19c122.11$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.24158.5%24 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x664b…8509backed Mavericks19c120$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.825851.6%133 W · 125 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x38a0…16e9backed Mavericks17c117.65$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071823.3%167 W · 551 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.