NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5161df836454d0fe690a491131cb94dc5b1213ff1a21e9569256e293a26845a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,287,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,398,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,287,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 410 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Celtics | 76c | 197,220$149,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,807.2 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3196…146fbacked Magic | 25c | 172,368$43,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,092.09 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Magic | 25c | 100,400$25,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,344.49 | 282 | 41.1%116 W · 166 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Celtics | 76c | 89,064$67,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,600.18 | 283 | 41.7%118 W · 165 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Magic | 6c | 68,167$4,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,156.84 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…caefbacked Celtics | 77c | 54,195$41,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,555.1 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Magic | 21c | 50,452$10,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,542.74 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Celtics | 75c | 41,190$30,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,297.53 | 478 | 48.1%230 W · 248 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Magic | 19c | 36,671$6,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,903.59 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cff…c3dabacked Magic | 4c | 30,137$1,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,091.49 | 185 | 18.4%34 W · 151 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Magic | 15c | 23,358$3,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,570.79 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Celtics | 75c | 22,222$16,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,555.5 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 21c | 19,778$4,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,083.25 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…eb70backed Magic | 23c | 16,096$3,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,749.98 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -3.4wins | -0.17per pick | 22cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Celtics | 73c | 15,653$11,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,298.14 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca3…ffe2backed Magic | 20c | 15,045$2,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,984.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d45…b661backed Magic | 2c | 14,566$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.6 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Magic | 21c | 13,874$2,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,857.6 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba5…aaf1backed Celtics | 75c | 13,837$10,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,459.36 | 367 | 48.2%177 W · 190 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Magic | 26c | 13,015$3,422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,422.28 | 377 | 34%128 W · 249 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Magic | 26c | 11,949$3,058 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,057.69 | 174 | 20.1%35 W · 139 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Magic | 26c | 11,147$2,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,875.33 | 221 | 37.6%83 W · 138 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 24c | 10,000$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,394.6 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa37c…4a56backed Celtics | 74c | 9,990$7,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,597.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a0…35c4backed Magic | 26c | 9,990$2,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,597.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Magic | 27c | 9,375$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,555.58 | 278 | 40.6%113 W · 165 L | -22.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Magic | 26c | 9,329$2,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,444.47 | 299 | 57.2%171 W · 128 L | +11.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Magic | 22c | 8,498$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,897.62 | 144 | 34%49 W · 95 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…232abacked Magic | 26c | 8,358$2,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,173.14 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…9c6abacked Celtics | 79c | 8,000$6,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Magic | 0c | 8,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa849…c825backed Celtics | 72c | 8,000$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,240 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 28c | 7,881$2,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,181.16 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Celtics | 78c | 7,053$5,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520.3 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ba…dfbbbacked Celtics | 75c | 6,667$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.67 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Magic | 25c | 6,140$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,516.6 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Magic | 24c | 6,122$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.29 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Magic | 26c | 6,050$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.86 | 129 | 38%49 W · 80 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba8…61b7backed Magic | 0c | 6,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f2…5495backed Magic | 28c | 5,086$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Celtics | 80c | 5,000$3,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…0e7cbacked Magic | 25c | 4,996$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.12 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Magic | 27c | 4,407$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.85 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616b…72f7backed Magic | 20c | 4,394$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.17 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 28cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Celtics | 75c | 4,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1571…c4e6backed Magic | 11c | 4,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 194 | 19.1%37 W · 157 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…25b0backed Magic | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba2…cea6backed Magic | 25c | 4,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Magic | 19c | 3,979$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.01 | 93 | 38.7%36 W · 57 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +91.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Celtics | 67c | 3,725$2,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.22 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Magic | 25c | 3,705$926 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.25 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…d81bbacked Magic | 31c | 3,500$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0dacbacked Celtics | 79c | 3,473$2,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.71 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Magic | 14c | 3,465$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.4 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Celtics | 74c | 3,321$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.66 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf586…f614backed Celtics | 77c | 3,206$2,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.08 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Celtics | 78c | 3,199$2,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$719.76 | 232 | 37.1%86 W · 146 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Magic | 27c | 3,050$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.5 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe9…8826backed Celtics | 72c | 3,025$2,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.48 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5445…58f0backed Magic | 23c | 3,000$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Celtics | 74c | 2,855$2,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.14 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89b3…6ed8backed Celtics | 75c | 2,750$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.71 | 172 | 56.4%97 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Magic | 22c | 2,607$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…1bd2backed Magic | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Magic | 28c | 2,421$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff2…310cbacked Magic | 17c | 2,300$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Celtics | 75c | 2,290$1,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.44 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Magic | 1c | 2,189$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Celtics | 73c | 2,100$1,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576 | 1,198 | 46.8%561 W · 637 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Magic | 22c | 2,033$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Celtics | 75c | 2,020$1,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Magic | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Magic | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Magic | 18c | 1,855$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Magic | 22c | 1,832$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,705$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 244 | 23.8%58 W · 186 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Celtics | 74c | 1,572$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.94 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f65…1592backed Celtics | 74c | 1,505$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.55 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Magic | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…14f2backed Magic | 20c | 1,497$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Magic | 23c | 1,473$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.84 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8655…a314backed Celtics | 74c | 1,454$1,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.94 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x179c…2d61backed Magic | 26c | 1,452$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.52 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Celtics | 76c | 1,411$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.74 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Magic | 3c | 1,348$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ab…5eb9backed Celtics | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 68 | 73.5%50 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Magic | 21c | 1,300$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.58 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Celtics | 74c | 1,260$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.6 | 577 | 60.5%349 W · 228 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Celtics | 75c | 1,250$938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.5 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…d3a0backed Celtics | 72c | 1,244$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.82 | 296 | 43.2%128 W · 168 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Magic | 4c | 1,214$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.07 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Celtics | 75c | 1,209$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.34 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Celtics | 74c | 1,200$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 174 | 54.6%95 W · 79 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Celtics | 76c | 1,186$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.31per pick | 49cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Magic | 1c | 1,153$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Celtics | 78c | 1,144$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.83 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Magic | 22c | 1,097$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ead…cf47backed Celtics | 79c | 1,056$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Magic | 26c | 1,044$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.