TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Hawksof Hawks, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$233,348
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$252,854

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $233,348 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 337 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x20cc…ebc0backed Hawks69c20,087$13,863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,224.4215056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeeca…9826backed Bucks35c14,032$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,9353826.3%10 W · 28 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x220f…88eabacked Bucks0c11,240$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ed…16f3backed Bucks62c10,000$6,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,2002475%18 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+21%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf4e2…a960backed Hawks37c7,405$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,665.35742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Hawks39c7,296$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,435.121649.1%106 W · 110 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+18.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa431…677fbacked Bucks21c7,130$1,511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,510.918417.9%15 W · 69 L-10.2wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-64.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Hawks49c5,453$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,787.4149849.4%246 W · 252 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3635…e4cfbacked Hawks50c5,004$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,502.16580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick53cpaid+33.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fbc…52dabacked Bucks50c4,989$2,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,494.56366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+250.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5550…5b4dbacked Bucks63c4,465$2,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,80012563.2%79 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8625…90afbacked Bucks53c4,391$2,339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,338.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7685…e082backed Bucks5c4,153$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.994316.3%7 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+102.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hawks38c4,079$1,551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,527.9577745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f91…907fbacked Hawks38c3,948$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.766245.2%28 W · 34 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks15c3,572$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.483,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef3b…5cefbacked Bucks64c3,565$2,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,281.913450%17 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…a075backed Bucks53c3,500$1,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,841.99560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d69…9829backed Hawks65c3,076$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.7629043.8%127 W · 163 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-18.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e3…08e0backed Bucks57c3,002$1,706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,705.976768.7%46 W · 21 L+4.8wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+1.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Hawks38c3,000$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8601,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Bucks11c2,982$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.7737627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1e7…12febacked Bucks63c2,940$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,849.489563.2%60 W · 35 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7b2…ece3backed Hawks36c2,830$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,806.1219642.9%84 W · 112 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…59e2backed Hawks38c2,617$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.073839.5%15 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Hawks39c2,585$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.211,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Bucks2c2,498$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.351,0351.1%11 W · 1,024 L-24.4wins-0.02per pick3cpaid-90.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f59…a01abacked Bucks59c2,439$1,439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,439.018561.2%52 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Bucks1c2,220$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.155502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8342…13c9backed Hawks39c1,950$757 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,193.523548.1%113 W · 122 L-13.9wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Bucks21c1,672$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.2261532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1647…2187backed Bucks63c1,593$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd42f…e540backed Bucks64c1,574$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7ae…afc4backed Hawks39c1,567$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$955.67944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b39…eeaabacked Bucks7c1,503$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.581926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x479c…bcbcbacked Bucks62c1,500$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9307549.3%37 W · 38 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ce…a6abbacked Hawks38c1,500$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9308442.9%36 W · 48 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid+9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Hawks38c1,496$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.2375347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9795…434ebacked Hawks39c1,478$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901.567100%7 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+67.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3149…ee7dbacked Bucks62c1,452$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3168…6734backed Bucks31c1,416$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.4519137.7%72 W · 119 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83d0…af06backed Bucks13c1,398$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.454226.2%11 W · 31 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick21cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Bucks26c1,322$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.011,55437.3%579 W · 975 L-48.1wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc12…1e02backed Hawks38c1,250$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7753354.5%18 W · 15 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x23ea…3ab2backed Bucks68c1,175$805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804.522080%16 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+20.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hawks47c1,143$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.3965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Bucks1c1,139$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.52165.6%12 W · 204 L-12.6wins-0.06per pick11cpaid-61%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d92…4b39backed Hawks80c1,119$895 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.869035.6%32 W · 58 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-30.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Bucks13c1,114$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.4934425.6%88 W · 256 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef63…96cbbacked Bucks46c1,107$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51037831.2%118 W · 260 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2376…30f5backed Bucks5c1,105$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.468359%49 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Bucks52c1,023$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301,15153.7%618 W · 533 L-41.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3d53…0644backed Bucks62c1,000$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.0612154.5%66 W · 55 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hawks38c1,000$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.271,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Hawks38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6208040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dc7…3a04backed Hawks78c1,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2208229.3%24 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-23.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa19a…2f33backed Bucks62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6201729.4%5 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3106…4a1fbacked Bucks62c983.35$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$609.681428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0bb5…f2a5backed Hawks38c983.35$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609.681643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Hawks41c900.24$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.952161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+131%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xad28…90d7backed Bucks58c861.47$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002857.1%16 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Bucks62c824.19$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51120153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbba7…2629backed Hawks36c789.08$284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.62725.9%7 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Bucks61c694.25$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.1237954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x529f…1cfabacked Hawks65c632.64$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.19052.2%47 W · 43 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Hawks36c630.88$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403.7719943.7%87 W · 112 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc910…5e8dbacked Bucks16c609.35$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.16944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick37cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8cd…3cf2backed Hawks38c599.97$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.9811143.2%48 W · 63 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hawks45c529.72$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.351,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hawks52c507.58$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.791,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eed…0c9abacked Bucks39c507.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.981435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-38.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x487f…30babacked Hawks38c500$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3105248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf64…7e54backed Bucks62c500$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3105250%26 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa39…b3c5backed Bucks32c499.99$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609724.7%24 W · 73 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e68…a74dbacked Bucks63c464.01$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.571478.6%11 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick66cpaid+20.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Hawks34c449.99$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.0772341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc81…0ababacked Hawks71c445.57$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12723646.6%110 W · 126 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x131d…8df5backed Hawks49c441$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.123053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb94…d871backed Bucks63c403.97$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.519650%98 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d7b…d15ebacked Bucks62c403.23$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507558.7%44 W · 31 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdeeb…ae35backed Hawks38c400$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2481050%5 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8a0…36d2backed Hawks38c399.96$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.97425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b63…4cf5backed Hawks39c384.62$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.624443.2%19 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8580…4612backed Bucks12c380.26$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455617.9%10 W · 46 L-5.1wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-38.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Hawks31c368.46$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.2410243.1%44 W · 58 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Bucks64c364.2$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23312752.8%67 W · 60 L-9.5wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb29…5e01backed Bucks62c363.86$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Hawks35c349.48$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.7424844%109 W · 139 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0730…46f8backed Bucks64c342.19$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-58.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd5f7…92b9backed Hawks38c341.3$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.31060%6 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Bucks63c332.24$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.314656.5%26 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc9ad…f186backed Bucks62c321.3$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20018666.1%123 W · 63 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7967…f4a0backed Bucks63c317$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.716250%31 W · 31 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d99…bfcebacked Hawks46c303.56$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.172100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+90.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Bucks33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Bucks26c300$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7848137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd31…4f6dbacked Bucks63c300$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1893372.7%24 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb90e…5794backed Bucks63c300$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1887263.9%46 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fd2…5e2abacked Bucks68c292.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004727.7%13 W · 34 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-38%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x29d5…9ae8backed Bucks65c280$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182911.1%1 W · 8 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick46cpaid-67.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.