TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Luciano Darderi vs Arthur Cazaux

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cazauxof Darderi, Cazaux
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$51,051
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,661

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,051 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Darderi8c6,070$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.4111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Darderi31c5,000$1,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5508530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Cazaux69c3,911$2,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.534930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Cazaux77c3,213$2,490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.365242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cazaux71c3,131$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.162,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7c2…51f9backed Darderi35c3,011$1,053 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,052.882828.6%8 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.11per pick39cpaid-28.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x05cb…dbedbacked Darderi32c1,801$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+20.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x750b…bc91backed Cazaux68c1,801$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.323100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+84.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7e58…fbd0backed Darderi32c1,689$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.48250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a73…eb3bbacked Cazaux68c1,689$1,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.48333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick56cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ea9…1ec8backed Cazaux67c1,674$1,122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0302…9c74backed Darderi33c1,674$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x179c…2d61backed Cazaux68c1,557$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b8…a992backed Darderi32c1,556$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Darderi33c1,508$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50025722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Darderi21c1,191$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Darderi30c1,100$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.543228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Cazaux73c762.79$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.7215832.3%51 W · 107 L-13.6wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-32.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Darderi33c750$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.3659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Darderi31c600$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1869741.2%40 W · 57 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Cazaux69c595.02$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.421,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Cazaux79c573.32$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.9575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Darderi23c568.55$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.851855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c17…de2bbacked Cazaux72c553.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.667957%45 W · 34 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefa5…d58bbacked Cazaux72c547.22$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.223253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cazaux67c543.61$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.391,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe841…2edebacked Cazaux67c500.48$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.16633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Darderi10c500$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512263.6%14 W · 8 L+5.4wins+0.25per pick39cpaid+56.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x3e84…52c8backed Darderi31c499.98$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.9950%0 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7750…a3f3backed Darderi20c497.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011215.2%17 W · 95 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick21cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x78ad…b32ebacked Cazaux72c459$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.52333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Darderi24c349.99$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.984456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Darderi29c349.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Darderi33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Darderi33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030339.3%119 W · 184 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Darderi42c300$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12657645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1544…6f27backed Cazaux79c299.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644040%16 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x17c8…b9f7backed Darderi17c286.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502040%8 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-32.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Darderi23c225$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Darderi22c218.15$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.868248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd14c…c9f0backed Darderi24c210.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-44.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa09b…db3dbacked Darderi21c207.1$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.49540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33db…55f1backed Darderi26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.99128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick29cpaid-88.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Cazaux72c200$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5622744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Cazaux68c173.17$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7964540.2%259 W · 386 L-19.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Darderi12c171.88$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2071857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cazaux59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4943158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0727…ec27backed Darderi33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30a4…0ab7backed Darderi33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x06c2…184fbacked Darderi28c150$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4224340.3%98 W · 145 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe804…735cbacked Cazaux75c148.07$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.021100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Darderi34c144.06$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.98520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Cazaux67c142.47$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.555143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Cazaux73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.991,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48d…5182backed Darderi23c128.79$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024558.8%144 W · 101 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8fd…78b2backed Darderi33c120$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.63946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdbf…c88ebacked Darderi26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024529.8%73 W · 172 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07e…b88ebacked Cazaux68c103$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.961338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick57cpaid-39%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbfb1…982dbacked Darderi32c103$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.961361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Darderi24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.531819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ceb…1952backed Cazaux61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396055%33 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9332…280ebacked Darderi24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247122.5%16 W · 55 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-20%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Darderi28c85.61$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.752,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x991e…fc54backed Darderi18c83.33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe66e…abddbacked Cazaux68c80$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.364650%23 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfbd…92dabacked Cazaux62c79.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.391662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61a0…8208backed Darderi32c77$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.641266.7%8 W · 4 L+3.1wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5398…a8a9backed Cazaux68c77$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.641145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x714c…a005backed Darderi26c76.93$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd891…7341backed Cazaux68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5312161.2%74 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Darderi33c71.81$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.71,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Cazaux68c70$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.422840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Darderi31c67$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.772,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09e6…f84cbacked Cazaux68c60$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.21241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick58cpaid-39.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda60…9126backed Darderi32c60$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.2837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Cazaux71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.346675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc36…180fbacked Cazaux68c55.15$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.651070%7 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick72cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a4f…c4f2backed Cazaux71c55$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9533134.7%115 W · 216 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-13.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3823…2784backed Cazaux73c54.79$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7932161.7%198 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc256…aba2backed Cazaux75c54.67$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.676759.7%40 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x55fb…4ec4backed Darderi32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163718.9%7 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.16per pick35cpaid-56.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xdd5f…7629backed Darderi23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf124…ecc6backed Cazaux77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Darderi39c49.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.272634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59ca…fd12backed Darderi44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+25.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Darderi44c45.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011533.9%39 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3412…3a3cbacked Cazaux69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.482281.8%18 W · 4 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick65cpaid+23.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe4a…9373backed Cazaux69c43.48$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.4812974.4%96 W · 33 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Cazaux62c43.34$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.532454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7591…509dbacked Cazaux78c40$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf88b…aeb5backed Cazaux69c26.03$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.07771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Cazaux69c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.24461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Cazaux70c15.71$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.711947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f42…5b96backed Cazaux80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.52867.9%19 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.