TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf88b…aeb5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: College Football, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category College Football at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australia T20 Series: Australia vs India (Nov 2)backed Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$25.49
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: India vs Australia (Game Semi Finals)backed India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+220.4%+$54.94
Women's Cricket World Cup Final Stage: England vs South Africa (Game Semi Finals)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$12.56
Bangladesh T20 Series: Bangladesh vs West Indies (Oct 27)backed Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.34
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Pakistanbacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$15.63
ICC WWC: Sri Lanka vs. Bangladeshbacked Bangladesh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.31
ICC WWC: India vs. Englandbacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.1
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lankabacked Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$134.24
ICC WWC: India vs. Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+27.5%+$52.1
ICC WWC: New Zealand vs. Bangladeshbacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+25%+$24.96
ICC WWC: India vs. South Africabacked South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+118.4%+$13.58
ICC WWC: New Zealand vs. South Africabacked New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.95
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid+8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick60cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
College Football — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jacksonville State vs. Middle Tennesseebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$23.01
James Madison vs. Texas Statebacked James Madison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$8.97
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$13.92
South Alabama vs. Georgia Statebacked South Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$19.43
LSU vs. Vanderbiltbacked Vanderbilt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$12.89
All 5 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+53%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.32per pick65cpaid-55%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+35.1%+$6.63
Kings vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.21
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick66cpaid-53.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$4.81
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$7.5
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2025-11-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.42
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+48%+$38.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+57.3%+$15.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-29.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Napoli win on 2025-10-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+41.4%+$13.78
Will AC Milan win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.46
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-10-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$7.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Botafogo FR win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.65
Will CF América win on 2025-10-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$13.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.