Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: New Zealand vs. South Africa
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85375d62a93418eaf9ee6aa522e8db76f64d6641a71f87d51f68813479fa8403
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof New Zealand, South Africa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,819
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,819 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked New Zealand | 59c | 7,100$4,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,189 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Africa | 41c | 3,563$1,461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.29 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed South Africa | 60c | 1,673$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.42 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed South Africa | 41c | 1,500$615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$885 | 154 | 29.9%46 W · 108 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 51c | 1,016$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$494.49 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked South Africa | 53c | 640.39$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.32 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933c…a8c6backed South Africa | 41c | 566$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc80…7566backed New Zealand | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.18per pick | 46cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc25b…dc9fbacked New Zealand | 46c | 439.07$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked South Africa | 42c | 380.64$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.2 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked South Africa | 41c | 358.64$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed New Zealand | 58c | 341.98$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed New Zealand | 55c | 321.5$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.89 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed South Africa | 46c | 284$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.06 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed New Zealand | 10c | 184$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed New Zealand | 59c | 171.1$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.95 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08b9…3294backed South Africa | 41c | 124.88$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.68 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x225f…5ec6backed New Zealand | 33c | 118.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.41 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 53cpaid | +62.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed New Zealand | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…0f34backed New Zealand | 60c | 88.33$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9f0…dba9backed New Zealand | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed South Africa | 41c | 74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.66 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed South Africa | 60c | 65$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3846…5b8abacked New Zealand | 40c | 55.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked New Zealand | 22c | 52.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a2…8516backed South Africa | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3577…4bd5backed New Zealand | 46c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x604e…f1cdbacked South Africa | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.