Cricket · resolved market
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lanka
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a55d7c9f1d1d8d338ed924b1a374199f5cfecc07c9878413fcb05cdb7441e0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- South Africaof South Africa, Sri Lanka
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,894
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked South Africa | 76c | 11,595$8,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,826.39 | 97 | 35.1%34 W · 63 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Sri Lanka | 27c | 10,258$2,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,810.89 | 133 | 36.8%49 W · 84 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Sri Lanka | 26c | 10,172$2,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,598.75 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Sri Lanka | 42c | 10,125$4,286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,286.39 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c9…41b5backed South Africa | 16c | 10,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +64.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Sri Lanka | 20c | 6,560$1,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.64 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed South Africa | 75c | 5,686$4,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,438.32 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf397…e1dabacked Sri Lanka | 22c | 4,780$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,059.6 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked South Africa | 75c | 3,586$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$912.37 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | -5.9wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed South Africa | 75c | 3,470$2,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.51 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed South Africa | 77c | 3,030$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$711.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +232.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed South Africa | 73c | 2,496$1,821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.17 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc1…0adabacked Sri Lanka | 25c | 1,664$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.28 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed South Africa | 75c | 1,638$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.83 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58ca…0672backed South Africa | 67c | 1,542$1,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed South Africa | 64c | 861.04$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed South Africa | 76c | 733$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x894d…6916backed Sri Lanka | 18c | 700$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…e39fbacked Sri Lanka | 45c | 683.19$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe86e…8642backed Sri Lanka | 28c | 670.78$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Sri Lanka | 25c | 526.66$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked South Africa | 65c | 460.17$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.58 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked South Africa | 59c | 454.9$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…54a7backed South Africa | 70c | 409.74$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.9 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed South Africa | 61c | 379.04$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.24 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfb…2398backed Sri Lanka | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6acd…07babacked Sri Lanka | 18c | 342.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…c9b3backed Sri Lanka | 23c | 315$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.56 | 222 | 41.9%93 W · 129 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Sri Lanka | 43c | 279.07$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8081…ae28backed South Africa | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 41cpaid | +26%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a56…695bbacked South Africa | 73c | 211.84$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.91 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5546…c8cebacked Sri Lanka | 15c | 211$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -71.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…d191backed Sri Lanka | 50c | 201.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed South Africa | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked South Africa | 50c | 147.12$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.56 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Sri Lanka | 43c | 142.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 159 | 40.9%65 W · 94 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Sri Lanka | 28c | 139$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.49 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9f…d2b9backed South Africa | 61c | 135$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.65 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -59%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked South Africa | 78c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x268d…7591backed South Africa | 60c | 53.39$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed South Africa | 57c | 44.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.75 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…28c3backed South Africa | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked South Africa | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3630…22c9backed Sri Lanka | 39c | 39.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x523c…5348backed South Africa | 72c | 33.59$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sri Lanka | 42c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.44 | 141 | 29.1%41 W · 100 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30bc…ea78backed South Africa | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391a…efc9backed Sri Lanka | 41c | 29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.