La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe vs. Girona end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x609777f24e061a36e77a74f789096f17ffd27d7f30bed4b27ad8c681262c0d72
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf209…97e1backed Yes | 33c | 17,194$5,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,648 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 67c | 14,584$9,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,813.33 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Yes | 31c | 10,000$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,099.99 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 5,530$3,838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.74 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb52b…b156backed No | 69c | 2,899$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe542…0a37backed Yes | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +7.5wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 31c | 1,589$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.26 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked No | 68c | 1,551$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.2 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3435…1913backed No | 68c | 1,385$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.4 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 1,265$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.8 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked No | 74c | 1,254$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.15 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…94d4backed No | 69c | 1,072$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 32c | 999.97$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.99 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x078c…f460backed No | 69c | 913.04$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 68c | 886.76$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.76 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9925…e33ebacked Yes | 48c | 840.18$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf8…9bd0backed No | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 4c | 610$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 269 | 30.5%82 W · 187 L | -21.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a87…4e00backed Yes | 32c | 560.88$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.48 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 41c | 361.01$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 290 | 38.6%112 W · 178 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 39c | 330.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52c…6732backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa429…792bbacked No | 70c | 286.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…6bc9backed No | 68c | 263.23$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 30c | 251.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.51 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 55c | 246.28$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.66 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 227.7$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.59 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 54c | 212.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.25 | 424 | 58%246 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…aa71backed Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.55 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 36c | 189.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc3…e92ebacked No | 55c | 181.81$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7529…5cd7backed Yes | 24c | 168.79$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Yes | 14c | 142.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 57c | 134$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.02 | 400 | 33.5%134 W · 266 L | -27.0wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked No | 43c | 125.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1092…28d7backed Yes | 33c | 106.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 54c | 102.44$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.12 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fe…e123backed No | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…1b85backed Yes | 34c | 98$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf134…26f8backed Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x428b…25c0backed Yes | 19c | 77.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 141 | 66.7%94 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa150…d291backed Yes | 32c | 65.63$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…62c7backed No | 46c | 64.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.39per pick | 36cpaid | +118.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…aeb5backed Yes | 63c | 59.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 60cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee7…12c5backed No | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 59cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55fb…4ec4backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 46c | 49.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 55c | 49.73$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.38 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…bc30backed Yes | 33c | 45.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffd…a637backed Yes | 32c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe70b…aaccbacked Yes | 32c | 39.7$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc019…9fd1backed No | 68c | 39.7$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked No | 69c | 37.68$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81c8…97b8backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…60a7backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc8…6960backed No | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +96.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067a…3821backed No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 68c | 21.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 432 | 55.6%240 W · 192 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe vs. Girona end in a draw?this page
- Will Getafe win on 2025-10-31?Yes won
- Will Girona win on 2025-10-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.