TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf2dd…667a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT3658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angels vs. Tigersbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
White Sox vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$18.43
Orioles vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.5
Cardinals vs. Dodgersbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
Twins vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Tigers vs. Philliesbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$37
Cardinals vs. Padresbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$18
Rangers vs. Angelsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
Rockies vs. Guardiansbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$44.33
Phillies vs. White Soxbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.6
Cubs vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$31
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$38.67
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$20.5
Braves vs. Athleticsbacked Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Nationals vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$21.43
Astros vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.5
Dodgers vs. Rockiesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Padres vs. Dodgersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Athletics vs. Angelsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.5
Phillies vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$28.64
Cubs vs. Nationalsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$41
Astros vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Rockies vs. Metsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$11.56
White Sox vs. Oriolesbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Athletics vs. Astrosbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$32.44
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT1070%7 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+52.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Thunder vs. Lakersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$11.5
Magic vs. Heatbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Timberwolves vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+376.2%+$48.9
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$13.26
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Timberwolves vs. Warriorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$17.52
Celtics vs. Knicksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$34
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$21.24
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-63.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Oilersbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$42
Hurricanes vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Capitals vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT+44.9%+$19.32
Jets vs. Starsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.5
All 4 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Eaglesbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
Steelers vs. Jaguars backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$24.5
Lions vs. Falconsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$26.44
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City vs. Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Will Arsenal vs. Newcastle end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$18.33
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Chase Hooper · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.