MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Diamondbacks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe208fe86053c4562ad7acc408fa397f80d365cd14242757fe5689f91774bc489
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diamondbacksof Cardinals, Diamondbacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $110,625
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $114,317
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $110,625 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf520…0637backed Cardinals | 7c | 18,230$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.47 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 17,711$10,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,615.93 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 15,726$9,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,417.01 | 188 | 37.8%71 W · 117 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Cardinals | 43c | 14,465$6,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,220.16 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Cardinals | 42c | 8,635$3,627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,626.67 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 21c | 7,660$1,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,587.91 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 22c | 6,706$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.05 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 4,230$3,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.86 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Cardinals | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 13c | 2,385$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 2,289$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.27 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 2,119$1,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.16 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Diamondbacks | 77c | 2,075$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.48 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Cardinals | 42c | 2,000$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Cardinals | 41c | 1,952$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.34 | 382 | 49.5%189 W · 193 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Cardinals | 11c | 1,815$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cardinals | 13c | 1,454$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Cardinals | 14c | 1,258$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.87 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cardinals | 42c | 1,191$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.22 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 42c | 999.96$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.98 | 1,293 | 47.3%611 W · 682 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Cardinals | 42c | 900$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379 | 338 | 52.1%176 W · 162 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 42c | 800$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 1,012 | 51.2%518 W · 494 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 768$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.88 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Cardinals | 3c | 658.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.23 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 549.01$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.07 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 41c | 531$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.71 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Cardinals | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cardinals | 13c | 478.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.16 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Cardinals | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 43c | 410.46$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 3c | 388.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 353.99$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.14 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe98b…780dbacked Diamondbacks | 74c | 350.97$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.25 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 16c | 339$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 14c | 331.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf33…261fbacked Cardinals | 9c | 330.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | -5.9wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Cardinals | 41c | 300$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1e…d204backed Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Diamondbacks | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 26c | 266.4$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.45 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Cardinals | 41c | 248.78$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Cardinals | 41c | 245$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 243.67$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.78 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108d…508abacked Cardinals | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 41c | 232$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.12 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 170 | 37.6%64 W · 106 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 225$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.75 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 220.47$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cardinals | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd29c…e6c4backed Cardinals | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Cardinals | 16c | 179.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 623 | 46.2%288 W · 335 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 630 | 52.7%332 W · 298 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9a…ba53backed Diamondbacks | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Cardinals | 13c | 166$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3df4…57dfbacked Diamondbacks | 56c | 166$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.04 | 313 | 47.9%150 W · 163 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Cardinals | 9c | 156.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Cardinals | 7c | 150.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cardinals | 41c | 137.32$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 11c | 131.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 120.69$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Cardinals | 43c | 120$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cardinals | 43c | 113.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1004…e818backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 113.25$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.57 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 43c | 110$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Diamondbacks | 60c | 100.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 312 | 54.5%170 W · 142 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 42c | 100.03$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.95 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5532…c6dbbacked Cardinals | 43c | 99.21$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.66 | 194 | 49%95 W · 99 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0875…9577backed Cardinals | 43c | 98.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588c…6929backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 96.66$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 41c | 95.67$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Cardinals | 42c | 90$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 88.68$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.51 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e3…1962backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 575 | 45.9%264 W · 311 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 20c | 73.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…c5fbbacked Diamondbacks | 57c | 70.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 97 | 56.7%55 W · 42 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb58…0e11backed Cardinals | 29c | 63.77$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.74 | 429 | 55%236 W · 193 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa58e…3af7backed Diamondbacks | 65c | 54.38$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcac…d069backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 52.78$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Cardinals | 41c | 50.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Diamondbacks | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9376…1655backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 206 | 49.5%102 W · 104 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Cardinals | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Cardinals | 43c | 48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Cardinals | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 512 | 45.1%231 W · 281 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Diamondbacks | 58c | 44.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 1,396 | 55.2%770 W · 626 L | -28.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6b…f553backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95fd…597dbacked Diamondbacks | 58c | 38.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fc…b47dbacked Cardinals | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f52…9057backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 35.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafbc…a8b5backed Diamondbacks | 57c | 35.08$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 375 | 52.5%197 W · 178 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.