MLB · resolved market
Astros vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9e555ea774df37abaeb004a5c7f22b72e969a951dc88efb550080659a7a0cb21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Astros, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $326,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $336,955
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $326,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 271 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa7b3…92f8backed Pirates | 61c | 164,072$100,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,069.04 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15e0…8d86backed Astros | 39c | 149,012$58,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90,816.96 | 111 | 53.2%59 W · 52 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe327…1fffbacked Pirates | 59c | 38,795$22,889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,888.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1b…0c85backed Astros | 41c | 34,062$13,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,096.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +143.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Astros | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.96 | 279 | 48.4%135 W · 144 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…1e18backed Astros | 43c | 9,996$4,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,697.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +101%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeebf…09ccbacked Pirates | 57c | 9,996$5,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,697.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Pirates | 50c | 9,086$4,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,545.58 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 59c | 7,284$4,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,291.81 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 38c | 5,608$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,450.65 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Astros | 39c | 4,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Astros | 39c | 3,970$1,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.5 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…4456backed Pirates | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,064.97 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x416a…fd6cbacked Astros | 40c | 3,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a39…e798backed Astros | 41c | 2,883$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700.97 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Pirates | 39c | 2,684$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.09 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Pirates | 58c | 2,670$1,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,548.43 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…5932backed Astros | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 74cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00be…5acabacked Pirates | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -3.2wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 59c | 2,224$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.35 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Astros | 39c | 2,183$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.59 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f31…1c4dbacked Astros | 43c | 2,000$860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,140 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37bb…06e8backed Pirates | 59c | 1,692$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.94 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…e79ebacked Astros | 43c | 1,674$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ac…054abacked Pirates | 61c | 1,642$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Astros | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Pirates | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$869.99 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9718…fa5dbacked Astros | 42c | 1,489$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$863.62 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Astros | 40c | 1,453$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$868.32 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 43c | 1,180$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.59 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Pirates | 63c | 1,171$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.04 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a56…3b4ebacked Astros | 41c | 1,100$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Pirates | 60c | 1,085$651 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$651.25 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa329…26a2backed Astros | 47c | 1,068$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.77 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Astros | 42c | 1,050$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Astros | 78c | 1,023$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.4 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a8…8c0dbacked Pirates | 57c | 1,018$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Pirates | 57c | 999.99$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.46 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3f…fc6cbacked Pirates | 57c | 982$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3499…4f27backed Astros | 41c | 921$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +103.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x275a…24d2backed Pirates | 57c | 859$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Pirates | 58c | 857.48$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.34 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc51…3620backed Pirates | 57c | 815$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Pirates | 61c | 795.09$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.49 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | -12.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 41c | 749.85$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.41 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 57c | 741.36$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.19 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Astros | 41c | 739.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.81 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Astros | 41c | 733.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.9 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Astros | 41c | 731.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.71 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 41c | 726.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.19 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bcd…6bddbacked Astros | 54c | 646.82$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.97 | 175 | 58.9%103 W · 72 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 42c | 600$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Astros | 43c | 599.55$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 55c | 597.16$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Astros | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.56 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Pirates | 43c | 541.06$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.26 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Astros | 41c | 509.97$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.52 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Astros | 40c | 507$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.2 | 237 | 52.7%125 W · 112 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…ec19backed Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2eb…9b76backed Astros | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b2…85d5backed Pirates | 60c | 499.99$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…01dabacked Astros | 40c | 499.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.92 | 117 | 57.3%67 W · 50 L | +9.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Astros | 41c | 490$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.1 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Pirates | 9c | 444$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.1 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Pirates | 42c | 426.71$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.17 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Astros | 70c | 394.29$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.29 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros | 39c | 366.67$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.43 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8307…1cadbacked Astros | 71c | 360.8$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.59 | 81 | 67.9%55 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Astros | 43c | 348.33$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.95 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Pirates | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Astros | 41c | 325.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25e…0aa5backed Astros | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Pirates | 56c | 294.13$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Astros | 51c | 261.85$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b92…56b8backed Astros | 77c | 259.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Astros | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Pirates | 57c | 231.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 7c | 225$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Pirates | 16c | 216$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 387 | 41.1%159 W · 228 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Pirates | 60c | 208.33$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -8.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d4a…1678backed Astros | 41c | 207.3$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88cf…7d31backed Pirates | 60c | 200$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 198 | 49.5%98 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Pirates | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.69 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 41c | 199.99$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf59…ff38backed Pirates | 57c | 199.23$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.56 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe3bc…cefcbacked Astros | 41c | 192.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004f…c39fbacked Astros | 43c | 187.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906e…99b5backed Astros | 41c | 180.48$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +116.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…555fbacked Astros | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +157.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Pirates | 47c | 170.33$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba0b…7888backed Pirates | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 62cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Pirates | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Pirates | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…3a83backed Astros | 44c | 160.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.53 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7703…34b9backed Pirates | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdec2…b36cbacked Pirates | 59c | 149.14$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Astros | 43c | 148.02$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.37 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.