MLB · resolved market
Phillies vs. Pirates
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8203b7bc6751dc7d4cda81a6cef50694de98bfd9106e0afbe31e7c564aa08769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Piratesof Phillies, Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,860
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,860 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Pirates | 49c | 20,157$9,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,250.08 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Phillies | 60c | 10,946$6,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,564.29 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc605…d372backed Phillies | 54c | 9,957$5,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,365.27 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -15.3wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…83f8backed Pirates | 40c | 8,274$3,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,002.12 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Phillies | 14c | 8,192$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.27 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Pirates | 44c | 5,017$2,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,809.7 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…612abacked Phillies | 56c | 4,625$2,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,590.38 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Phillies | 57c | 4,565$2,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,601.96 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Pirates | 43c | 4,285$1,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.55 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pirates | 40c | 4,026$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 56c | 3,900$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 1,153 | 49.2%567 W · 586 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Phillies | 62c | 3,108$1,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,941.99 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 21c | 2,949$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.97 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pirates | 41c | 2,362$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.11 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Phillies | 57c | 2,285$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300.33 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 57c | 2,034$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.71 | 959 | 50.1%480 W · 479 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Pirates | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Pirates | 40c | 1,822$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.15 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Pirates | 43c | 1,750$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.5 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae36…8fb5backed Phillies | 43c | 1,580$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.4 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Phillies | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4447…a0e7backed Phillies | 69c | 1,460$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.42 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Phillies | 60c | 1,146$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.8 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Pirates | 38c | 1,073$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.06 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Phillies | 45c | 1,028$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.4 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9712…0c47backed Phillies | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 102 | 40.2%41 W · 61 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8db6…da81backed Phillies | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -6.2wins | -0.45per pick | 52cpaid | -88.1%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xf092…4ebabacked Pirates | 47c | 850.45$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.74 | 198 | 52.5%104 W · 94 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Pirates | 74c | 816.99$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.6 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Pirates | 38c | 800$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a3…93babacked Phillies | 38c | 784.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Pirates | 57c | 765.22$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.44 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18be…add4backed Pirates | 43c | 719.99$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Pirates | 51c | 687.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Phillies | 24c | 629$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…4d48backed Phillies | 13c | 582.06$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 248 | 8.9%22 W · 226 L | -17.8wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x363d…fe75backed Phillies | 57c | 526.32$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 212 | 42.5%90 W · 122 L | -13.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Pirates | 42c | 526.29$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.25 | 496 | 50.2%249 W · 247 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Phillies | 18c | 477.9$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Pirates | 43c | 466$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.62 | 920 | 50%460 W · 460 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…7d12backed Phillies | 58c | 433.4$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 182 | 47.8%87 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Phillies | 49c | 410$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Phillies | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Phillies | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Phillies | 63c | 336.37$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.69 | 4,187 | 50.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L | +94.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Phillies | 58c | 303$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.55 | 850 | 47.4%403 W · 447 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Pirates | 37c | 302.26$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -7.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Phillies | 56c | 300$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba1f…11c3backed Pirates | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Pirates | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.99 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Phillies | 16c | 260.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Phillies | 62c | 254.03$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Phillies | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Phillies | 56c | 215.51$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.73 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Phillies | 35c | 214.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,215 | 40.5%492 W · 723 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b8…0646backed Phillies | 38c | 208.56$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Pirates | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 3,303 | 46.3%1,528 W · 1,775 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Phillies | 59c | 200$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Phillies | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Pirates | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.82 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pirates | 37c | 181.39$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.27 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Pirates | 28c | 180.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.71 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Phillies | 68c | 161.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cee…b72abacked Pirates | 38c | 158.81$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.46 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.8wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Phillies | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba2…c1a0backed Phillies | 63c | 156.17$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.38 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.2wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Phillies | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Pirates | 38c | 135$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 1,445 | 50%723 W · 722 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Phillies | 66c | 134.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.72 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Pirates | 26c | 134.55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.98 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Pirates | 45c | 128$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.24 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Phillies | 56c | 128$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.68 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Pirates | 41c | 113.32$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.43 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Phillies | 57c | 112.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Pirates | 41c | 111$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb02f…0673backed Phillies | 23c | 110$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Pirates | 55c | 108.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.82 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9228…e41abacked Pirates | 40c | 100.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 177 | 32.8%58 W · 119 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Pirates | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…8a2ebacked Phillies | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Phillies | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…afbfbacked Phillies | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccb5…5f2cbacked Pirates | 44c | 100$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Pirates | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.99 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a27…fe44backed Pirates | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.24 | 88 | 42%37 W · 51 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Pirates | 41c | 95$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.05 | 2,050 | 53.8%1,103 W · 947 L | +33.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e17…e4d4backed Phillies | 62c | 90.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.37 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Pirates | 44c | 90.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.91 | 493 | 48.3%238 W · 255 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61ab…790bbacked Phillies | 61c | 87$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.99 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef44…66afbacked Phillies | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 164 | 72%118 W · 46 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Phillies | 49c | 77.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.01 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Phillies | 31c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.7 | 417 | 51.3%214 W · 203 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Pirates | 57c | 69$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2399…2332backed Phillies | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Pirates | 39c | 61.54$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d5…37e6backed Phillies | 57c | 61.4$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30a5…5e6fbacked Pirates | 44c | 61.36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.