TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Chase Hooper vs. Mitch Ramirez (Lightweight, Main Card)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Chase Hooperof Chase Hooper, Mitch Ramirez
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$696,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$804,770

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $696,939 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 212 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in UFC
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Chase Hooper77c449,714$344,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104,942.317454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed Mitch Ramirez23c273,901$63,793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,793.2913452.2%70 W · 64 L+7.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1fe3…fec3backed Mitch Ramirez24c83,536$20,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,048.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Mitch Ramirez23c73,819$16,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,978.2615444.2%68 W · 86 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Chase Hooper76c16,000$12,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,84011554.8%63 W · 52 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bfe…2d74backed Chase Hooper76c11,245$8,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,698.796172.1%44 W · 17 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf438…9559backed Chase Hooper77c10,179$7,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,341.258744.8%39 W · 48 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Mitch Ramirez23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,30013636%49 W · 87 L-13.8wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-33.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Mitch Ramirez24c9,031$2,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,148.3813039.2%51 W · 79 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Mitch Ramirez23c8,600$1,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9788353%44 W · 39 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mitch Ramirez23c6,984$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,606.3330039.3%118 W · 182 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f8c…e275backed Chase Hooper77c6,922$5,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,592.037247.2%34 W · 38 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Mitch Ramirez23c6,402$1,455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.9817050.6%86 W · 84 L+9.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Mitch Ramirez14c4,709$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7515537.4%58 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Chase Hooper79c4,248$3,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$895.842326.1%6 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ce…1581backed Chase Hooper76c4,200$3,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0083100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+78.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Mitch Ramirez23c4,168$959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$958.647128.2%20 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Mitch Ramirez23c4,089$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$940.4129133.7%98 W · 193 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Mitch Ramirez25c4,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xed10…d2e5backed Chase Hooper77c4,000$3,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.9922661.9%140 W · 86 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Chase Hooper75c3,202$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$800.4737152.8%196 W · 175 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Chase Hooper75c2,937$2,203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.352846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.6wins-0.09per pick56cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Mitch Ramirez24c2,650$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63635826%93 W · 265 L-7.5wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b0f…4633backed Chase Hooper77c2,597$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.41560%9 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Mitch Ramirez23c2,500$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5754820.8%10 W · 38 L-4.4wins-0.09per pick30cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x370f…c4e4backed Chase Hooper76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6003661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4889…e2d8backed Chase Hooper77c2,250$1,738 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.1135664.6%230 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Mitch Ramirez25c2,079$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.75944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Mitch Ramirez25c2,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009240.2%37 W · 55 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Mitch Ramirez15c2,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300560%3 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+43.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x92d8…a656backed Chase Hooper76c2,000$1,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.25569.1%38 W · 17 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Mitch Ramirez25c1,880$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.935240.4%21 W · 31 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Mitch Ramirez15c1,828$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2718032.8%59 W · 121 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-24%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cbc…1d39backed Mitch Ramirez24c1,677$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017841.6%74 W · 104 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9348…6664backed Chase Hooper76c1,400$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3361283.3%10 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x27d2…b0f8backed Chase Hooper77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3221764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick44cpaid+83.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed Chase Hooper76c1,329$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$318.954936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xade2…e86dbacked Chase Hooper76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.7915656.4%88 W · 68 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Mitch Ramirez2c1,015$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.251926.3%5 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Mitch Ramirez23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23036745.8%168 W · 199 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf807…c5dcbacked Mitch Ramirez25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502240.9%9 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477f…6c45backed Mitch Ramirez24c1,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24028043.2%121 W · 159 L+10.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b8c…9390backed Mitch Ramirez24c999.99$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2406953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Chase Hooper76c869.37$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6514558.6%85 W · 60 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+5.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26cf…c612backed Mitch Ramirez24c801.48$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.6190553.6%485 W · 420 L+46.4wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed Chase Hooper77c714.29$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.29850%4 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Mitch Ramirez15c698.83$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.1335848.3%173 W · 185 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-0.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x676e…28c5backed Mitch Ramirez23c683.88$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1592615.4%4 W · 22 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Mitch Ramirez23c652.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506250%31 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb758…4699backed Mitch Ramirez28c640$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.23357.6%19 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f86…4fa9backed Chase Hooper75c633.33$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.3314560%87 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Mitch Ramirez9c617.16$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.5422548%108 W · 117 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda79…daecbacked Mitch Ramirez26c608.56$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.1318440.8%75 W · 109 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Mitch Ramirez25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012833.6%43 W · 85 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Mitch Ramirez25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504845.8%22 W · 26 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Mitch Ramirez25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503941%16 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Chase Hooper75c587.32$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.886368.3%43 W · 20 L+8.4wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+20.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Mitch Ramirez26c576.92$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d9…5896backed Mitch Ramirez25c560$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14014237.3%53 W · 89 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Mitch Ramirez11c548.84$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.2222438.4%86 W · 138 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Chase Hooper77c519.48$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.484431.8%14 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Mitch Ramirez23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11542042.6%179 W · 241 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Mitch Ramirez24c500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1201926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-33.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cb5…98f8backed Mitch Ramirez25c500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125520%1 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-68.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x53ad…5bd4backed Mitch Ramirez23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11520837%77 W · 131 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf5…42f2backed Chase Hooper76c472.37$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.3710270.6%72 W · 30 L+10.5wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+11.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2256…0386backed Chase Hooper75c451.39$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.857160.6%43 W · 28 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x51e6…80d2backed Mitch Ramirez23c450$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.513940.3%56 W · 83 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b6f…4c96backed Mitch Ramirez23c434.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003745.9%17 W · 20 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…b821backed Chase Hooper76c430.01$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.23345.5%15 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-30.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7d5…d4d3backed Mitch Ramirez25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005062%31 W · 19 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c70…b25ebacked Chase Hooper76c394.74$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.7411364.6%73 W · 40 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Chase Hooper76c394.34$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.642060%12 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x07b3…20fbbacked Chase Hooper77c390.71$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.713043.3%13 W · 17 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15e9…939ebacked Mitch Ramirez25c371.04$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7660%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Mitch Ramirez18c353$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.543938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84d7…298fbacked Mitch Ramirez25c345.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.692846.4%13 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe650…0944backed Mitch Ramirez23c330$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.97650%38 W · 38 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+15.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8d32…653ebacked Chase Hooper76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.951681.3%13 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick67cpaid+17.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf334…bdefbacked Chase Hooper76c328.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.957159.2%42 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Chase Hooper76c318.42$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.4226140.6%106 W · 155 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeaf8…9f45backed Mitch Ramirez24c283.63$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.994748.9%23 W · 24 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x900e…104dbacked Chase Hooper76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.162646.2%12 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Chase Hooper76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+27.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3333…3c23backed Mitch Ramirez25c260.87$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2211735.9%42 W · 75 L-4.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa264…3b18backed Mitch Ramirez25c260$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick33cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b89…98d6backed Chase Hooper77c254.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.472152.4%11 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.12per pick65cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Mitch Ramirez24c245$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601020%2 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-55.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb3f3…3426backed Mitch Ramirez25c240$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6014132.6%46 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Mitch Ramirez24c229.17$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5551533.6%173 W · 342 L-7.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd738…eeeebacked Chase Hooper77c221.7$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9913248.5%64 W · 68 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x495e…a4a8backed Mitch Ramirez23c217.39$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf87…ce4cbacked Chase Hooper76c210.53$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.531782.4%14 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+22.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd417…327abacked Mitch Ramirez24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502450%12 W · 12 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x240b…be12backed Chase Hooper78c206.41$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.412060%12 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked Mitch Ramirez25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Mitch Ramirez25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2180…df40backed Mitch Ramirez25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502254.5%12 W · 10 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid-19.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96d9…18a0backed Mitch Ramirez23c200$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd79…f93ebacked Mitch Ramirez25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5052252.9%276 W · 246 L+15.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.