NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c95470ace3c295b7c72d367796e25c3279b7a1c8d3f8f6220f80e39c981e972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Capitals, Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $445,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $457,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $445,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 331 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x245b…00c5backed Capitals | 30c | 117,438$35,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,157.15 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 48,412$33,904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,507.68 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Hurricanes | 69c | 44,444$30,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,777.58 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 42,821$29,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,974.41 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Capitals | 31c | 38,133$11,821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,821.2 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Capitals | 30c | 31,255$9,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,433.58 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Hurricanes | 73c | 28,200$20,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,584.93 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Capitals | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Capitals | 31c | 20,061$6,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,315.42 | 114 | 41.2%47 W · 67 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 20,000$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,000 | 195 | 55.4%108 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x889e…09e0backed Capitals | 31c | 20,000$6,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,200 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Hurricanes | 71c | 17,155$12,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,958.26 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hurricanes | 71c | 16,108$11,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,677.04 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Hurricanes | 70c | 16,000$11,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.98 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 54cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…68a8backed Capitals | 25c | 15,058$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,753.36 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Hurricanes | 72c | 13,397$9,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,694.32 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Capitals | 31c | 12,500$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,875 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccba…0ce8backed Capitals | 7c | 11,617$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.3 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6b…0b74backed Capitals | 32c | 9,999$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x091e…e155backed Hurricanes | 68c | 9,999$6,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…5effbacked Capitals | 22c | 8,979$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,975.44 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…1dd2backed Hurricanes | 70c | 8,622$6,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,586.6 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 4c | 5,000$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32e…890bbacked Capitals | 31c | 4,504$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.91 | 362 | 42%152 W · 210 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Hurricanes | 69c | 4,500$3,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,395 | 397 | 52.1%207 W · 190 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Capitals | 30c | 4,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Hurricanes | 69c | 4,326$2,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,341.06 | 88 | 54.5%48 W · 40 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Hurricanes | 69c | 4,286$2,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.59 | 728 | 47.9%349 W · 379 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Hurricanes | 69c | 3,857$2,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.42 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4f…446cbacked Capitals | 32c | 3,700$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.94 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5413backed Capitals | 18c | 3,436$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.76 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Capitals | 33c | 3,071$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Hurricanes | 76c | 3,031$2,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.42 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Capitals | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.96 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Hurricanes | 67c | 3,000$2,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.95 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Hurricanes | 67c | 2,818$1,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.04 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Capitals | 31c | 2,629$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.58 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Capitals | 8c | 2,540$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.54 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Capitals | 1c | 2,400$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Hurricanes | 69c | 2,247$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.44 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Hurricanes | 70c | 2,000$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes | 69c | 2,000$1,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.33 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Capitals | 15c | 1,892$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Hurricanes | 70c | 1,700$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f93…39a1backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,700$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.71 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Hurricanes | 70c | 1,600$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…73dcbacked Capitals | 32c | 1,570$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Capitals | 8c | 1,531$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e85…4d99backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,522$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.04 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 31c | 1,500$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Hurricanes | 70c | 1,500$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0c32backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 57cpaid | +53%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb37c…164ebacked Capitals | 32c | 1,500$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c46…2d80backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,500$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.98 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Hurricanes | 69c | 1,467$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.13 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Capitals | 9c | 1,381$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.27 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Capitals | 30c | 1,200$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.99 | 818 | 46%376 W · 442 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…5109backed Capitals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…137fbacked Capitals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Capitals | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4142…1853backed Hurricanes | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…f117backed Capitals | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Capitals | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 125 | 56.8%71 W · 54 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…a5d4backed Capitals | 36c | 833.89$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f32…1532backed Capitals | 31c | 806.45$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…a2e8backed Hurricanes | 68c | 793.53$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes | 69c | 781.59$539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.29 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b06…ace9backed Hurricanes | 68c | 776.47$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b3…6159backed Hurricanes | 70c | 729.57$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.57 | 88 | 70.5%62 W · 26 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb608…ebdfbacked Capitals | 18c | 709$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.63 | 58 | 20.7%12 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f69…23cbbacked Capitals | 6c | 699.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Hurricanes | 70c | 684$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.2 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Capitals | 33c | 606.06$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 62.9%78 W · 46 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Hurricanes | 70c | 571$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.3 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Capitals | 6c | 521.2$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.45 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Hurricanes | 67c | 508.39$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.77 | 297 | 48.8%145 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Capitals | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 413 | 40%165 W · 248 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Hurricanes | 73c | 491.14$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.12 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -10.0wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0111…0463backed Capitals | 31c | 483.87$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…766dbacked Capitals | 11c | 469.44$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6ac…957dbacked Hurricanes | 75c | 444$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38e0…ccb5backed Hurricanes | 69c | 434.78$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.78 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes | 79c | 432.31$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.4 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed Hurricanes | 70c | 428$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hurricanes | 74c | 415.26$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 372 | 54.3%202 W · 170 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Capitals | 12c | 411.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 25%21 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cb…b857backed Hurricanes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Capitals | 31c | 399.91$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x069c…96e4backed Capitals | 20c | 391.46$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Hurricanes | 71c | 370$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Capitals | 30c | 363$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.9 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…93f5backed Hurricanes | 69c | 343.64$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…60bebacked Capitals | 11c | 322.65$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x008b…439bbacked Capitals | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbe…1e9bbacked Capitals | 5c | 301.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Capitals | 12c | 300.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.88 | 416 | 50.7%211 W · 205 L | +15.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Capitals | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f32…3e2cbacked Capitals | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Hurricanes | 68c | 299.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 59 | 66.1%39 W · 20 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +21%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Capitals | 31c | 290$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.