TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Twins vs. Tigers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tigersof Twins, Tigers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$654,486
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$666,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $654,486 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 229 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x461f…7a07backed Twins38c473,552$182,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,144.0412043.3%52 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Tigers62c216,107$133,651 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82,456.8686751.8%449 W · 418 L-0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7abe…b47ebacked Tigers61c91,600$55,876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,72422852.2%119 W · 109 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Tigers61c35,000$21,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,65048254.4%262 W · 220 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Tigers61c30,000$18,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,70026949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Tigers61c23,939$14,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,335.641,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Tigers62c22,997$14,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,648.5917156.1%96 W · 75 L-0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9d…02c7backed Tigers63c22,395$14,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,319.2535952.4%188 W · 171 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb083…b3f0backed Twins37c20,622$7,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,630.2260249.5%298 W · 304 L+10.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Tigers61c16,362$10,018 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,344.171,01048.1%486 W · 524 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39b2…c541backed Tigers61c15,162$9,299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,863.163100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Tigers62c15,000$9,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,70055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tigers61c11,300$6,893 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,4071,15149.2%566 W · 585 L-0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Tigers62c10,000$6,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,80011150.5%56 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Tigers63c9,561$6,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,537.6538047.6%181 W · 199 L-8.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a14…e79fbacked Twins37c8,000$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,9606258.1%36 W · 26 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4dbe…af34backed Twins37c6,731$2,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,478.9356451.1%288 W · 276 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e94…6243backed Twins21c6,669$1,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,426.2554345.5%247 W · 296 L+14.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Twins39c6,535$2,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,539.811520%3 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-52.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Tigers63c6,208$3,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,312.392,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa004…5c79backed Twins39c6,155$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.4430%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Twins7c5,157$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$361.011,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18ca…9bf2backed Twins39c5,023$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.975851.7%30 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Tigers62c5,000$3,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,909.3395850%479 W · 479 L+4.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb992…7920backed Tigers61c4,920$3,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,918.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9716…378abacked Tigers62c3,839$2,367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.2650852.6%267 W · 241 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Twins50c3,742$1,880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,880.199,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe84…779ebacked Tigers61c3,737$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,457.435947.5%28 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Tigers63c3,137$1,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,160.5254048.3%261 W · 279 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Twins37c2,750$1,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,017.4939041%160 W · 230 L-22.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09b0…bffebacked Twins39c2,565$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.3530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Tigers63c2,505$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$926.8525453.5%136 W · 118 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Twins39c2,400$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94270946.1%327 W · 382 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc623…9afdbacked Tigers64c2,188$1,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.7113553.3%72 W · 63 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Twins37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.9993240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Twins38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9171751%366 W · 351 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Twins2c1,994$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.8841643.8%182 W · 234 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Twins43c1,756$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.8333845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Tigers61c1,500$919 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581.5461346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197f…dc8dbacked Tigers56c1,393$786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$607.3221246.2%98 W · 114 L+7.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1dc3…7e98backed Tigers62c1,370$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.6425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Tigers44c1,354$598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.432,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8872…979bbacked Twins39c1,346$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Twins53c1,326$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70025551%130 W · 125 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x22ab…3bb0backed Twins39c1,282$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+14.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7da9…9a22backed Twins39c1,280$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Tigers64c1,217$779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.121,35250.8%687 W · 665 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadf0…00fbbacked Twins36c1,200$432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43249250.4%248 W · 244 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Twins44c1,133$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.4998149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Twins39c1,100$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42950843.3%220 W · 288 L+21.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Tigers54c1,095$593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$501.5328447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x6148…acadbacked Twins39c1,048$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.7224547.3%116 W · 129 L+21.2wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebd8…570cbacked Twins8c1,047$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3343946%202 W · 237 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x497c…d54ebacked Twins36c992.19$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.1924248.8%118 W · 124 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2fb2…01b4backed Tigers64c976.56$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.565856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0229…ea6cbacked Tigers47c970.94$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.7241747.2%197 W · 220 L+15.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d4…3126backed Tigers61c876.88$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Tigers39c862.88$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.881,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Twins35c857.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.2753150.5%268 W · 263 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Tigers50c837.25$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.251,21340.5%491 W · 722 L-32.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Tigers62c799.96$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.9888549.7%440 W · 445 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Twins5c796.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.122242.7%6 W · 218 L-10.6wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-64.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccf8…170bbacked Twins39c750$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.550%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4be9…97ecbacked Tigers63c739.99$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.85667.9%38 W · 18 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick56cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Twins4c738.99$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.394754.4%21 W · 454 L-20.9wins-0.04per pick9cpaid-72.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Twins39c711$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.2944443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed Twins39c654.46$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.242347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Twins39c569.11$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8830850%154 W · 154 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5681…cac8backed Twins40c550$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2205042%21 W · 29 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Twins38c550$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20927733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e4e…437cbacked Tigers63c539.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.681586.7%13 W · 2 L+4.6wins+0.31per pick56cpaid+65.6%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xacdf…0ec4backed Tigers62c502.45$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.9319452.6%102 W · 92 L-10.9wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x41e1…021cbacked Twins39c501$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.39837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Tigers54c500$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23051953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x270e…f2f3backed Tigers61c480$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa804…4d41backed Tigers61c470$287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.3757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac5a…46b6backed Tigers62c469$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Tigers66c456.06$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.065358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3df0…8963backed Twins39c449$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.11580%4 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.28per pick52cpaid+47%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3d09…2445backed Tigers60c445.46$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.18977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+32.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb61f…9958backed Twins14c428.64$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.0127213.6%37 W · 235 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Twins17c416$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.721650%8 W · 8 L+5.0wins+0.31per pick19cpaid+300.7%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Twins37c411.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8185047.4%403 W · 447 L+1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Twins38c400$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…521fbacked Twins39c384.87$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.11241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe880…de2dbacked Tigers54c375.87$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.98454.8%46 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9587…cd8ebacked Twins37c370.5$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.4131244.2%138 W · 174 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+10.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5555…d3d0backed Twins12c361$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.329550.5%48 W · 47 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c90…f36cbacked Tigers45c352.48$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.4822958.5%134 W · 95 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Twins37c350$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.551347%241 W · 272 L+32.0wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Tigers63c335$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.951,28947.2%609 W · 680 L-18.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Twins39c333$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.871,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Tigers62c332.21$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.791,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cd3…1174backed Tigers61c320.29$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.4619052.6%100 W · 90 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tigers63c318$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.6691749.9%458 W · 459 L-3.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaaef…472abacked Tigers51c314.64$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.832754.7%179 W · 148 L+6.8wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Tigers48c310$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.715851.9%82 W · 76 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Tigers65c307.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.692,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Twins4c306.92$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.875053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bf7…cdb7backed Twins47c304$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.0445749.7%227 W · 230 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.