MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Padres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef85c5b2bdb3e8bf7fbc45116ef23d99b52788fad27fae5b7907731c1d57443a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Padresof Cardinals, Padres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $914,563
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $949,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $914,563 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Cardinals | 38c | 729,457$274,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274,342.56 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Padres | 62c | 243,391$151,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91,909.38 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Padres | 62c | 211,700$132,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,474 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Padres | 62c | 79,954$49,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,389.36 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Padres | 63c | 71,900$44,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,901 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dbe…af34backed Padres | 63c | 51,100$32,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,069 | 564 | 51.1%288 W · 276 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Padres | 64c | 37,303$23,759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,543.81 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Padres | 63c | 28,768$18,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,584.25 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Padres | 63c | 25,000$15,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,250 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Padres | 63c | 16,470$10,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,123.6 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Padres | 62c | 14,500$8,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,510 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 68c | 9,862$6,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,167.92 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Padres | 64c | 7,761$4,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,793.65 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…dc8dbacked Padres | 62c | 5,905$3,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,226.38 | 212 | 46.2%98 W · 114 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Padres | 64c | 5,727$3,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070.2 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Padres | 55c | 5,448$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,447.98 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Cardinals | 36c | 5,235$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.59 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +8.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Padres | 65c | 4,941$3,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,743.6 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Padres | 61c | 4,251$2,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,658.15 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Padres | 64c | 3,737$2,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.32 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Padres | 62c | 3,254$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.37 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Padres | 69c | 3,199$2,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.03 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 36c | 2,999$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.65 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 63c | 2,789$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.89 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Padres | 63c | 2,771$1,756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,014.97 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Cardinals | 55c | 2,727$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Padres | 63c | 2,443$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.29 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Cardinals | 33c | 2,108$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.33 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Cardinals | 7c | 2,107$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Padres | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.97 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,753$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$653.25 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43ec…240abacked Padres | 63c | 1,700$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 63c | 1,539$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.43 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…cc65backed Padres | 63c | 1,500$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Padres | 53c | 1,407$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.11 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 38c | 1,369$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.27 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c6…b9adbacked Cardinals | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe837…0cfdbacked Padres | 60c | 1,200$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…c024backed Cardinals | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6f…482cbacked Cardinals | 36c | 1,181$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.16 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Cardinals | 39c | 1,105$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.95 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…c0f2backed Cardinals | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.33per pick | 45cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…35aebacked Cardinals | 40c | 1,100$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Cardinals | 39c | 1,041$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.99 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Padres | 63c | 1,010$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.8 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc041…3becbacked Padres | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7d…7e36backed Padres | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.1 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Cardinals | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.55 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Cardinals | 37c | 946.6$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.24 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Cardinals | 7c | 942.86$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbccd…6aeebacked Padres | 66c | 886.36$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.36 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 64c | 862.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.26 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Cardinals | 38c | 783$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.54 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Padres | 69c | 727.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.54 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66cc…d87abacked Cardinals | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Cardinals | 37c | 675.78$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.04 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Padres | 61c | 653.33$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.54 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc6…6043backed Cardinals | 5c | 638.57$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Padres | 64c | 630$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.8 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…42d5backed Padres | 63c | 610.97$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.97 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Cardinals | 39c | 601.5$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.55 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Cardinals | 15c | 569.04$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.1 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Padres | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Cardinals | 5c | 500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 113 | 31.9%36 W · 77 L | -11.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cardinals | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Padres | 52c | 480.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.96 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Padres | 49c | 465.14$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.22 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9263…1999backed Cardinals | 7c | 444.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +74.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Padres | 66c | 400.41$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Cardinals | 3c | 399$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 475 | 4.4%21 W · 454 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Padres | 63c | 392.99$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Cardinals | 39c | 387.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.44 | 312 | 44.2%138 W · 174 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Cardinals | 35c | 356$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.6 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Cardinals | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.49 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Cardinals | 39c | 349.85$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.44 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6333…07f0backed Cardinals | 38c | 343.73$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Padres | 66c | 341.31$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.12 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 40c | 325$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49f7…046bbacked Cardinals | 37c | 309.89$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.66 | 237 | 53.2%126 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Padres | 65c | 308.2$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.87 | 342 | 64.3%220 W · 122 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Padres | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Padres | 67c | 302.58$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.68 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Cardinals | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…541ebacked Cardinals | 37c | 272.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.61 | 148 | 64.2%95 W · 53 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Padres | 76c | 270$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.07 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40ab…fbb5backed Cardinals | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Cardinals | 37c | 254.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Cardinals | 34c | 247.03$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Padres | 64c | 229.15$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.37 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Cardinals | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 224 | 2.7%6 W · 218 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 7cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Padres | 62c | 209.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Cardinals | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Cardinals | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f0…1d2dbacked Cardinals | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.24per pick | 47cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…3f4fbacked Padres | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.