MLB · resolved market
Padres vs. Dodgers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2c5785fab46bc5ee7294ce17b06a5d309c81fa99f06c5b2b6f15afe2df4e1bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Padres, Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,452
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $271,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,452 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Padres | 39c | 69,401$27,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,270.92 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Dodgers | 61c | 25,821$15,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,070.26 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed Padres | 36c | 15,577$5,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,669.28 | 268 | 47.4%127 W · 141 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Dodgers | 60c | 14,777$8,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,874.06 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Dodgers | 60c | 11,825$7,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,740.21 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9708…925bbacked Padres | 38c | 7,070$2,687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,686.59 | 166 | 43.4%72 W · 94 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe38…1f16backed Dodgers | 62c | 6,583$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,502.49 | 47 | 76.6%36 W · 11 L | +8.2wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 60c | 5,202$3,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.03 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Padres | 9c | 5,150$488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.79 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Dodgers | 61c | 5,100$3,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,989 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Dodgers | 59c | 5,064$2,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.26 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Padres | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Dodgers | 74c | 4,847$3,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,245.42 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Dodgers | 60c | 4,788$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,912.13 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Dodgers | 52c | 3,932$2,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,893.36 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Padres | 40c | 3,224$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.5 | 389 | 49.1%191 W · 198 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Padres | 40c | 2,919$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.21 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Padres | 33c | 2,875$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.83 | 1,250 | 52.2%653 W · 597 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Dodgers | 61c | 2,500$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Padres | 39c | 2,111$823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.28 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Padres | 21c | 2,098$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Padres | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Dodgers | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59de…de22backed Padres | 31c | 1,662$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Padres | 50c | 1,603$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$797.14 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…1e43backed Padres | 36c | 1,581$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.97 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -12.4wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Padres | 44c | 1,335$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.23 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Dodgers | 61c | 1,277$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.22 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Padres | 2c | 1,238$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348a…9dd0backed Padres | 53c | 1,185$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.33 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Dodgers | 62c | 1,144$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.26 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Padres | 7c | 1,140$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.93 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Padres | 40c | 1,137$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.95 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Padres | 39c | 1,101$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.57 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe768…9d43backed Dodgers | 67c | 1,064$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.84 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Padres | 41c | 999.88$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.95 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Dodgers | 49c | 985$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.35 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Padres | 4c | 876.94$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.68 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0314…7837backed Dodgers | 56c | 835.36$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Padres | 12c | 814.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Padres | 7c | 800$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 254 | 16.1%41 W · 213 L | -15.3wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Padres | 6c | 678.46$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.89 | 123 | 14.6%18 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Dodgers | 61c | 659.31$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.31 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 57c | 600$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.61 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1031…e7a0backed Padres | 22c | 535.71$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…55a0backed Padres | 42c | 522$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.24 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -5.2wins | -0.20per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Padres | 29c | 518.03$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…84babacked Dodgers | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f84…dd89backed Dodgers | 60c | 503.71$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…136abacked Dodgers | 47c | 502.61$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 292 | 40.8%119 W · 173 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Padres | 43c | 500$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Padres | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c1…8696backed Dodgers | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1e…86d3backed Dodgers | 57c | 500$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 165 | 51.5%85 W · 80 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Padres | 31c | 472.84$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Dodgers | 51c | 472.55$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.55 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3587…23adbacked Dodgers | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…0bb9backed Dodgers | 58c | 428.95$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.16 | 125 | 52.8%66 W · 59 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Dodgers | 59c | 423.73$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.73 | 206 | 45.1%93 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed Padres | 39c | 420$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.8 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd40…73a2backed Padres | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…e4bcbacked Dodgers | 59c | 406.78$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.78 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +5.9wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Padres | 52c | 401.12$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.58 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Padres | 40c | 384.29$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.16 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Padres | 10c | 383.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 223 | 12.1%27 W · 196 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…8db7backed Dodgers | 46c | 380$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.73 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…ea03backed Padres | 53c | 378.57$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.64 | 123 | 47.2%58 W · 65 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Dodgers | 69c | 363.93$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.93 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Dodgers | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.98 | 134 | 50%67 W · 67 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf094…6fd5backed Dodgers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e12…7348backed Dodgers | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 384 | 55.7%214 W · 170 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…20d0backed Padres | 11c | 321.75$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 404 | 3.5%14 W · 390 L | -19.4wins | -0.05per pick | 8cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Padres | 38c | 306.31$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.36 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9320…95ddbacked Dodgers | 60c | 300$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 135 | 55.6%75 W · 60 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Padres | 38c | 299.96$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.99 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Padres | 40c | 258$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Padres | 39c | 256.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfb…bea8backed Padres | 31c | 252.93$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…3303backed Dodgers | 59c | 252.02$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.33 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Dodgers | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d83…94f3backed Padres | 5c | 250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Padres | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Padres | 41c | 216.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.92 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…a8bdbacked Dodgers | 59c | 211.88$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.87 | 171 | 55%94 W · 77 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…79a4backed Padres | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Dodgers | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 244 | 44.3%108 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5241…f648backed Padres | 39c | 187.18$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Padres | 40c | 184.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.63 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9f…59f3backed Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 67cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Dodgers | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…0fe8backed Dodgers | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051d…6980backed Padres | 50c | 159.47$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.39 | 203 | 43.8%89 W · 114 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…9a8abacked Padres | 42c | 149.95$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f8…8c03backed Padres | 46c | 134.28$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed Padres | 41c | 130$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.3 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Padres | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Padres | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…1eedbacked Padres | 13c | 121.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.