MLB · resolved market
Nationals vs. Cardinals
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x723451fc41fcc384e3236d8ae1000b8eb3384f34113bd683a8d3b409490f8dfa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cardinalsof Nationals, Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $305,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $322,603
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $305,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 141 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65e4…a3bdbacked Nationals | 34c | 193,177$65,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,444.22 | 108 | 44.4%48 W · 60 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Cardinals | 66c | 55,000$36,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,700 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Cardinals | 66c | 44,629$29,455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,173.78 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Cardinals | 66c | 40,000$26,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,600 | 126 | 50.8%64 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Cardinals | 67c | 20,298$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,798.34 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 73c | 17,091$12,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,623.81 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Cardinals | 72c | 12,381$8,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,438.2 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c35…9e9abacked Nationals | 35c | 9,996$3,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,498.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab76…8c37backed Cardinals | 65c | 9,995$6,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,498.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Nationals | 32c | 7,050$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271 | 436 | 54.8%239 W · 197 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Cardinals | 68c | 6,133$4,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.63 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Cardinals | 66c | 4,550$3,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547 | 144 | 46.5%67 W · 77 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 67c | 4,252$2,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.14 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 63c | 3,659$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.32 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Cardinals | 73c | 3,500$2,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 78c | 3,340$2,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.36 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Cardinals | 72c | 3,197$2,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.37 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Cardinals | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 219 | 41.1%90 W · 129 L | -19.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Cardinals | 73c | 2,532$1,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.25 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Nationals | 33c | 2,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.98 | 313 | 46.6%146 W · 167 L | -12.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa75c…895ebacked Nationals | 31c | 2,334$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.54 | 163 | 52.1%85 W · 78 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…e520backed Cardinals | 67c | 1,818$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.94 | 279 | 53.4%149 W · 130 L | +16.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Nationals | 25c | 1,770$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.36 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Nationals | 32c | 1,497$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.12 | 173 | 51.4%89 W · 84 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…fde7backed Nationals | 33c | 1,212$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Nationals | 31c | 1,141$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.32 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Cardinals | 57c | 1,053$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.74 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Nationals | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Cardinals | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cardinals | 66c | 987.73$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.59 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024a…decbbacked Cardinals | 67c | 944.61$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.72 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nationals | 33c | 911.52$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.36 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked Cardinals | 63c | 867.92$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.92 | 259 | 54.1%140 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Cardinals | 66c | 795$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.3 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Nationals | 32c | 784.9$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.17 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…de56backed Nationals | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Nationals | 33c | 700$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 394 | 36%142 W · 252 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…bdbdbacked Cardinals | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | -9.2wins | -0.12per pick | 60cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nationals | 27c | 640.92$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.44 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Nationals | 29c | 510.93$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Cardinals | 67c | 500.06$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.02 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Nationals | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 320 | 42.8%137 W · 183 L | -23.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb033…bedbbacked Cardinals | 68c | 500$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.92 | 133 | 59.4%79 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Nationals | 19c | 438.29$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.28 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Cardinals | 71c | 423.45$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.48 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Nationals | 34c | 415.9$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Cardinals | 73c | 408.11$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Cardinals | 78c | 387.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.04 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cardinals | 71c | 381.81$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.58 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…472abacked Cardinals | 61c | 344.86$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.43 | 327 | 54.7%179 W · 148 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nationals | 35c | 299.96$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.98 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 67c | 298.77$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.77 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Nationals | 25c | 290$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ee…7ad7backed Nationals | 10c | 231.84$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.09 | 46 | 10.9%5 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 66c | 226.56$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Nationals | 25c | 222.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.43 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 205.65$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.9 | 341 | 64.2%219 W · 122 L | +22.2wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nationals | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 171 | 39.2%67 W · 104 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x605a…c6debacked Cardinals | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 122 | 67.2%82 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nationals | 21c | 191.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Nationals | 22c | 181.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeace…fe6abacked Nationals | 8c | 176.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6edc…18cebacked Cardinals | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 313 | 56.2%176 W · 137 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Nationals | 32c | 150$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 473 | 48.8%231 W · 242 L | -22.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Cardinals | 64c | 150$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 494 | 50%247 W · 247 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Cardinals | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Cardinals | 67c | 149$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.17 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Cardinals | 66c | 145.45$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815b…ec44backed Nationals | 34c | 143.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Cardinals | 78c | 142.75$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.39 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xdb2d…0ab6backed Nationals | 34c | 140.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4c…0b39backed Nationals | 34c | 137.29$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.68 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Cardinals | 66c | 136.63$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.63 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a0…2569backed Nationals | 35c | 120$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Cardinals | 67c | 119$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb7…6479backed Nationals | 27c | 118.67$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7256…30c9backed Cardinals | 66c | 115.65$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.32 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Cardinals | 42c | 105.26$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.05 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Nationals | 43c | 100.14$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Nationals | 35c | 89.4$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198b…9973backed Cardinals | 79c | 83.74$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Nationals | 34c | 83.68$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.3 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb955…175ebacked Cardinals | 67c | 80.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7530…aac4backed Cardinals | 67c | 80.35$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9f…4b38backed Nationals | 35c | 79.63$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67be…561ebacked Nationals | 34c | 76.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…7e18backed Cardinals | 67c | 76.31$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.18 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da8…1321backed Cardinals | 67c | 73.54$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x030f…4c3bbacked Cardinals | 67c | 73.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e13…05adbacked Cardinals | 67c | 71.43$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdaec…634dbacked Cardinals | 67c | 70.19$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Cardinals | 66c | 69$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.8 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc9…7e5bbacked Nationals | 25c | 68.25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 189 | 51.3%97 W · 92 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Cardinals | 67c | 64.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c03…12b2backed Nationals | 43c | 64.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.87 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31d2…c25dbacked Nationals | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…9f26backed Nationals | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3558…1e67backed Cardinals | 67c | 64.1$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf002…047fbacked Nationals | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 51.8%87 W · 81 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6111…c02fbacked Cardinals | 80c | 61.88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.