MLB · resolved market
Athletics vs. Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e2b44010d09cb3889e3c84d12e65a02ebadfa956a03749c9d29331134c2927f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Astrosof Athletics, Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,260
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,260 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf980…6528backed Astros | 56c | 26,607$14,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,738.54 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Astros | 58c | 20,203$11,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,484.02 | 245 | 51.8%127 W · 118 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Athletics | 43c | 14,998$6,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,439.07 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Athletics | 44c | 6,854$3,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,007.86 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Athletics | 44c | 6,724$2,969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,969.07 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…ec2fbacked Athletics | 42c | 6,290$2,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,641.6 | 140 | 48.6%68 W · 72 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77d6…4fd2backed Astros | 60c | 5,923$3,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.32 | 110 | 58.2%64 W · 46 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Astros | 36c | 5,789$2,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,705.26 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Athletics | 37c | 4,786$1,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,775.77 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Astros | 58c | 4,444$2,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,866.47 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Athletics | 43c | 3,800$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.98 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 40c | 3,713$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfba6…375cbacked Astros | 38c | 2,917$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,822.38 | 867 | 51.8%449 W · 418 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…8503backed Athletics | 46c | 2,172$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…ddfabacked Athletics | 42c | 1,727$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.71 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Athletics | 44c | 1,432$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.72 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa320…8232backed Astros | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 284 | 47.5%135 W · 149 L | -20.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Athletics | 43c | 1,195$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.65 | 686 | 56.4%387 W · 299 L | +38.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6f…3838backed Athletics | 33c | 1,094$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.23 | 405 | 47.4%192 W · 213 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Athletics | 7c | 1,018$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.96 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf0…00fbbacked Athletics | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 492 | 50.4%248 W · 244 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Athletics | 44c | 1,000$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 333 | 49.5%165 W · 168 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Athletics | 44c | 954$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.76 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Astros | 57c | 877.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.19 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Astros | 54c | 749.92$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.96 | 204 | 50.5%103 W · 101 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Athletics | 45c | 685.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.12 | 979 | 50.2%491 W · 488 L | +49.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Athletics | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Athletics | 55c | 679$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.45 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Athletics | 26c | 616.95$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.5 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe94…7bb6backed Athletics | 7c | 515.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Astros | 53c | 500$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…93ccbacked Athletics | 52c | 480.77$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 248 | 44%109 W · 139 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Athletics | 2c | 479.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 505 | 3.8%19 W · 486 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60a1…a8e1backed Astros | 58c | 408.21$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.1 | 159 | 49.7%79 W · 80 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Athletics | 49c | 350.54$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.07 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…c011backed Astros | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 138 | 48.6%67 W · 71 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Astros | 59c | 296.61$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.61 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58d2…46e6backed Astros | 48c | 289.68$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.68 | 309 | 28.5%88 W · 221 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0b…44fdbacked Athletics | 5c | 281.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…517cbacked Astros | 59c | 264.3$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.44 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros | 58c | 260.45$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.45 | 201 | 50.2%101 W · 100 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7f…7d7fbacked Athletics | 55c | 253.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 152 | 56.6%86 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bd…de55backed Athletics | 42c | 235$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…6bf3backed Astros | 58c | 235$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Athletics | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Athletics | 26c | 216.86$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.68 | 639 | 42.7%273 W · 366 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd386…1887backed Athletics | 5c | 205.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 192 | 33.3%64 W · 128 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad8c…f563backed Astros | 46c | 200.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.43 | 258 | 35.3%91 W · 167 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Astros | 54c | 199.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.99 | 511 | 51.7%264 W · 247 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf442…ccf8backed Athletics | 62c | 192.81$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.54 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584c…70f7backed Athletics | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Athletics | 66c | 160$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0e…5b17backed Athletics | 30c | 157.58$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Athletics | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Athletics | 23c | 145.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Astros | 61c | 141.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.98 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed Athletics | 39c | 140$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.4 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Astros | 53c | 123.7$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 382 | 45.5%174 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x891b…f433backed Athletics | 46c | 117.13$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f64…a11abacked Athletics | 46c | 112.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x027e…988cbacked Athletics | 46c | 110.24$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.71 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Athletics | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…fab3backed Astros | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Athletics | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 204 | 48%98 W · 106 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Astros | 54c | 99.98$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…4d0bbacked Athletics | 66c | 96.39$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e76…7ecbbacked Astros | 56c | 95.88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +83.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…5c7cbacked Astros | 55c | 94.55$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +138%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b98…f539backed Astros | 56c | 92.41$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.66 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x610c…f204backed Astros | 55c | 89.6$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c67…bd51backed Athletics | 46c | 84.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Athletics | 48c | 84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.64 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…a255backed Astros | 56c | 81.37$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ac…c15fbacked Athletics | 46c | 76.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0162…6033backed Athletics | 43c | 75.58$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Astros | 57c | 75.44$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e2…322bbacked Astros | 57c | 70.99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.53 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1781…a0ecbacked Astros | 34c | 70$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Astros | 63c | 69.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 44c | 69.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.44 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Athletics | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Athletics | 45c | 59.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.99 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros | 59c | 59.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d27…f6cfbacked Athletics | 31c | 55.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc614…b14bbacked Astros | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 525 | 42.5%223 W · 302 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Athletics | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0624…017dbacked Athletics | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 266 | 51.1%136 W · 130 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefaf…26a1backed Astros | 38c | 52.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.63 | 239 | 38.5%92 W · 147 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…d681backed Astros | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 743 | 56.9%423 W · 320 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707f…cba4backed Athletics | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5308…3221backed Athletics | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 403 | 52.4%211 W · 192 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…62a1backed Astros | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5b…69ebbacked Astros | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Athletics | 50c | 41.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b8…2d83backed Athletics | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbf…c88ebacked Astros | 58c | 37.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.89 | 179 | 30.2%54 W · 125 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Astros | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 255 | 11.8%30 W · 225 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Athletics | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 159 | 49.1%78 W · 81 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed5…e9bfbacked Astros | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 177 | 44.1%78 W · 99 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.