TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Cavaliers vs. Pacers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pacersof Cavaliers, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,071,170
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,083,178

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,071,170 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 435 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xda93…f09cbacked Cavaliers0c210,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-55.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x010d…2b15backed Cavaliers24c166,633$40,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40,400.42366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+226.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa78d…e8cbbacked Cavaliers0c100,125$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.922920.7%6 W · 23 L+3.7wins+0.13per pick8cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4259…936fbacked Cavaliers42c100,000$42,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,4008333.7%28 W · 55 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8e0…1dd2backed Cavaliers66c83,117$55,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,234.326344.4%28 W · 35 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Pacers33c65,432$21,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,839.4128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Pacers55c62,359$34,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,120.5422457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Cavaliers67c58,801$39,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,374.2647848.1%230 W · 248 L-9.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x889e…09e0backed Cavaliers54c53,242$28,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,644.2610926.6%29 W · 80 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-26.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Pacers34c52,668$17,885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,783.0728341.7%118 W · 165 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cce…6e85backed Cavaliers1c49,630$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9422039.1%86 W · 134 L+14.0wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+21.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Pacers38c46,172$17,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,523.6218146.4%84 W · 97 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Cavaliers66c34,889$23,026 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,026.4696447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Pacers56c30,665$17,291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,373.783,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e11…9bacbacked Pacers37c30,000$11,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,9002138.1%8 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-26%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ba5…aaf1backed Cavaliers40c29,186$11,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,761.3836748.2%177 W · 190 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d45…b661backed Cavaliers16c28,169$4,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,536.7313731.4%43 W · 94 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Cavaliers0c24,500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.58783%26 W · 852 L-22.3wins-0.03per pick5cpaid-62%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8aa…ae12backed Cavaliers23c24,000$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,489.557829.5%23 W · 55 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xce4d…a7fabacked Cavaliers6c21,300$1,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2463641.7%15 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe38e…c29dbacked Cavaliers65c18,803$12,208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,208.1813560.7%82 W · 53 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9483…39b2backed Cavaliers67c17,500$11,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,7256863.2%43 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x322d…305fbacked Pacers34c17,400$5,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,4841145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick29cpaid+47.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9f2…5cbabacked Cavaliers0c16,000$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.83350%0 W · 335 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xafe4…62d0backed Cavaliers49c15,194$7,479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,479.4520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f66…8938backed Cavaliers20c12,798$2,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,518.7526431.8%84 W · 180 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Pacers80c12,500$9,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,560.1736057.5%207 W · 153 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked Pacers68c12,417$8,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,021.1970640.8%288 W · 418 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Pacers37c12,334$4,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,712.4414434%49 W · 95 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9b35…a749backed Cavaliers0c12,214$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4436423.4%85 W · 279 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Cavaliers3c11,600$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32041227.4%113 W · 299 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick28cpaid+94.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbbc…ea5abacked Cavaliers68c11,062$7,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Cavaliers67c11,000$7,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,369.9922137.6%83 W · 138 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03e5…dd0fbacked Cavaliers1c10,872$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.416622.7%15 W · 51 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-48.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Pacers33c10,500$3,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,98536843.8%161 W · 207 L-17.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd065…93e8backed Cavaliers4c10,171$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.4910945.9%50 W · 59 L-7.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4ef…974cbacked Cavaliers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5036…416bbacked Cavaliers1c10,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10038845.9%178 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7709…5852backed Cavaliers0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011229.5%33 W · 79 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99cf…a86abacked Cavaliers32c9,226$2,979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,979.114034.3%48 W · 92 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Cavaliers67c8,500$5,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6952450%12 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ce9…9c2dbacked Cavaliers0c8,333$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257623.7%18 W · 58 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+51.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5aca…8b98backed Pacers74c8,000$5,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0903036.7%11 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+30.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4e25…d7a7backed Pacers68c7,933$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,573.4516537%61 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa75c…895ebacked Cavaliers67c7,000$4,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6907347.9%35 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x49df…96b7backed Cavaliers3c6,921$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Cavaliers63c6,816$4,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,322.898840.9%36 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Cavaliers66c6,000$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,96016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc82e…9460backed Cavaliers59c5,828$3,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,436.8317044.1%75 W · 95 L-0.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfba6…375cbacked Cavaliers63c5,709$3,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,610.8329957.2%171 W · 128 L+11.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Pacers53c5,577$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.625,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Pacers56c5,336$2,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,349.0888053.8%473 W · 407 L+52.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ba8…61b7backed Cavaliers3c5,316$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.923925.6%10 W · 29 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick17cpaid-9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Pacers47c5,312$2,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,827.7166732.4%216 W · 451 L+41.8wins+0.06per pick26cpaid-3.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f65…d7aebacked Pacers35c5,255$1,834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,421.2525536.9%94 W · 161 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Pacers69c5,174$3,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,586.8436751.8%190 W · 177 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Pacers33c5,050$1,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,383.341,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Pacers59c5,043$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,065.181,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Cavaliers0c5,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Cavaliers67c5,000$3,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,3501,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xab68…1bb1backed Cavaliers1c5,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5015911.9%19 W · 140 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-41.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pacers46c5,000$2,292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,708.0580146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf020…a576backed Cavaliers3c5,000$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15215724.2%38 W · 119 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+52.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec92…98f5backed Cavaliers66c5,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.998053.8%43 W · 37 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-10.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x069c…96e4backed Cavaliers0c4,969$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.75332.1%17 W · 36 L+7.8wins+0.15per pick17cpaid+39.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x0292…4211backed Pacers33c4,848$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,248.181361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+13.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Cavaliers59c4,757$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,822.0576850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…df44backed Cavaliers67c4,478$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004841.7%20 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Pacers38c4,265$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.5937734%128 W · 249 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1925…1ddbbacked Cavaliers50c4,255$2,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,129.786235.5%22 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-33.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde5…9c38backed Cavaliers66c4,230$2,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,794.41,19746.7%559 W · 638 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1792…f173backed Cavaliers1c4,167$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L+4.8wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+287.6%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe1d5…5684backed Cavaliers4c4,000$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1584434.1%15 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Pacers34c3,900$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,57462351.4%320 W · 303 L-13.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Pacers63c3,820$2,394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.891,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Cavaliers0c3,800$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1593041.9%390 W · 540 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Pacers32c3,662$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,489.972,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Cavaliers5c3,650$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.55129.4%15 W · 36 L+6.8wins+0.13per pick16cpaid+57.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Cavaliers66c3,500$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,309.9879549.7%395 W · 400 L-0.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bd3…2a3cbacked Cavaliers1c3,000$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178714.9%13 W · 74 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Cavaliers66c3,000$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.951,16449.6%577 W · 587 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Pacers34c2,941$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,941.0360549.8%301 W · 304 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Cavaliers16c2,899$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$472.8921723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Cavaliers1c2,733$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.83666.7%24 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+19.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Cavaliers66c2,721$1,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,796.071,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x23b5…ea5cbacked Cavaliers67c2,537$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,700862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick37cpaid+86.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd2c7…e251backed Cavaliers0c2,500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Cavaliers45c2,312$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,040.6225939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Pacers77c2,240$1,715 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.251,05353.5%563 W · 490 L-15.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Cavaliers13c2,200$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.456348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccba…0ce8backed Cavaliers13c2,100$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8f19…b0cabacked Cavaliers2c2,000$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3024423.8%58 W · 186 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde97…e43ebacked Cavaliers43c2,000$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8605843.1%25 W · 33 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a8…97d0backed Cavaliers67c2,000$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,34024855.6%138 W · 110 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2b8…5ce5backed Cavaliers45c2,000$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8903961.5%24 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecf7…ee71backed Pacers34c1,735$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.29742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…8687backed Pacers58c1,711$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.27425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-57.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xadb9…2067backed Cavaliers25c1,671$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.3112941.9%54 W · 75 L+10.0wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+38.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ca9…e644backed Cavaliers1c1,667$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x898b…e311backed Cavaliers62c1,614$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.5520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-65.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.