MLB · resolved market
Orioles vs. Phillies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c0964353645d0526780edb5ff9fb4d85e1aae431305adfa5e7eb2828759bae3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Oriolesof Orioles, Phillies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,321,434
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,430,763
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,321,434 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x461f…7a07backed Orioles | 39c | 962,018$375,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586,831.11 | 120 | 43.3%52 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Phillies | 61c | 830,494$506,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506,601.1 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Orioles | 39c | 111,832$43,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,217.47 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Phillies | 61c | 36,876$22,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,494.35 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Phillies | 61c | 34,847$21,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,256.67 | 263 | 55.5%146 W · 117 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Orioles | 74c | 27,954$20,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,314.31 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Phillies | 61c | 27,500$16,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,775 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Phillies | 61c | 25,700$15,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,677 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Phillies | 61c | 25,641$15,641 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,640.74 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Phillies | 61c | 24,343$14,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,874.48 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9716…378abacked Phillies | 61c | 14,889$9,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,082.05 | 508 | 52.6%267 W · 241 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Phillies | 26c | 13,499$3,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,542.22 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Phillies | 60c | 10,035$6,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,021.29 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Phillies | 61c | 8,161$4,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,978.32 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -13.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8f…a7bbbacked Phillies | 61c | 7,901$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,819.51 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.13per pick | 68cpaid | -17%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Phillies | 61c | 7,550$4,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,605.5 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Phillies | 61c | 6,326$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,873.02 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Phillies | 61c | 5,497$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.07 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Orioles | 44c | 5,132$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,899.3 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Phillies | 55c | 5,029$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,772.66 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbe84…779ebacked Orioles | 39c | 5,021$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,062.81 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Phillies | 61c | 4,016$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ca…9bf2backed Phillies | 61c | 3,841$2,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,343.01 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc638…43b4backed Orioles | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,830 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Phillies | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…b998backed Phillies | 61c | 3,000$1,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b32…32c1backed Phillies | 48c | 2,820$1,357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.56 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Phillies | 60c | 2,744$1,639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,638.89 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebd8…570cbacked Phillies | 12c | 2,730$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.24 | 439 | 46%202 W · 237 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Phillies | 60c | 2,727$1,629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,628.74 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe627…ffaabacked Orioles | 37c | 2,696$998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,698.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.15per pick | 54cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…e646backed Phillies | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed Phillies | 61c | 2,208$1,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,347 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.35per pick | 55cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Phillies | 61c | 2,158$1,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.33 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Phillies | 61c | 2,082$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf64a…27c9backed Phillies | 64c | 2,080$1,331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330.86 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Phillies | 61c | 2,000$1,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,220 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Orioles | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d8…5744backed Orioles | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…d54ebacked Orioles | 38c | 2,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.96 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Orioles | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.95 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Phillies | 67c | 1,926$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Orioles | 40c | 1,863$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.5 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Orioles | 39c | 1,755$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.2 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Phillies | 54c | 1,700$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.25 | 885 | 49.7%440 W · 445 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c59…b1cebacked Orioles | 40c | 1,695$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.98 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…f9d9backed Phillies | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.95 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc3…7e98backed Phillies | 62c | 1,650$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Phillies | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c11…02c8backed Orioles | 48c | 1,560$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.5 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Orioles | 39c | 1,500$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.99 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Orioles | 38c | 1,406$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871.79 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b6…3263backed Phillies | 75c | 1,349$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,006.93 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Orioles | 40c | 1,318$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.2 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Phillies | 4c | 1,296$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Orioles | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$782.02 | 280 | 42.1%118 W · 162 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Orioles | 39c | 1,272$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.74 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74dc…cc04backed Phillies | 60c | 1,179$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Phillies | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 424 | 52.1%221 W · 203 L | +15.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Phillies | 35c | 967.15$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.71 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Orioles | 41c | 950.52$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.81 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Phillies | 61c | 928.8$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.57 | 95 | 60%57 W · 38 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbb…050cbacked Phillies | 70c | 882.01$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Phillies | 40c | 830$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.2 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Phillies | 2c | 817.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Phillies | 51c | 700$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.5 | 666 | 45.5%303 W · 363 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd718…9ebebacked Phillies | 61c | 655.74$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 41c | 611.98$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.07 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Phillies | 61c | 600$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 39c | 599.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Phillies | 62c | 594.55$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.62 | 110 | 36.4%40 W · 70 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed Orioles | 38c | 526.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.32 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Orioles | 40c | 516.88$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.13 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Orioles | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Phillies | 61c | 491.8$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfedb…e5a3backed Phillies | 2c | 487.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Orioles | 39c | 482.33$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.22 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…cb71backed Orioles | 44c | 476.89$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.25 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef69…a854backed Phillies | 59c | 430.51$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Orioles | 40c | 420$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252 | 331 | 40.2%133 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Phillies | 59c | 416.95$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0709…f2edbacked Phillies | 64c | 410.94$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.10per pick | 61cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67fd…2b74backed Phillies | 62c | 403.23$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Orioles | 39c | 400$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 40c | 400$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…0bbfbacked Phillies | 62c | 389.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 39c | 388.47$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.97 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 35c | 370$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.5 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 39c | 360.68$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.75 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Phillies | 59c | 344$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.96 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Phillies | 59c | 338.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Phillies | 62c | 330.31$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.43 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Phillies | 61c | 328.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.69 | 917 | 49.9%458 W · 459 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ccf…2fedbacked Phillies | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 391 | 60.4%236 W · 155 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Phillies | 60c | 302.6$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.56 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Phillies | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.4wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c90…f36cbacked Phillies | 61c | 280.8$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 229 | 58.5%134 W · 95 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Phillies | 30c | 272.35$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.85 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 35c | 267.02$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.92 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.