NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Nuggets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x350c15cd359067012964a25dc63f8c0314446bea98ab20ac2df6979733b24003
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raptorsof Raptors, Nuggets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,987
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,987 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Nuggets | 2c | 23,828$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.14 | 169 | 19.5%33 W · 136 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…5e12backed Nuggets | 1c | 8,011$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.11 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +3.0wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Raptors | 70c | 5,142$3,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,565.1 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Nuggets | 16c | 4,355$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.39 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Raptors | 78c | 4,115$3,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.2 | 181 | 46.4%84 W · 97 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Nuggets | 30c | 3,469$1,041 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,041.42 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdefe…5432backed Raptors | 80c | 3,350$2,676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.27 | 74 | 68.9%51 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…06f4backed Nuggets | 3c | 2,777$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +67.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Nuggets | 0c | 2,511$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Raptors | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…0a3abacked Nuggets | 20c | 2,388$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.97 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Nuggets | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Nuggets | 23c | 1,898$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd64e…025bbacked Nuggets | 23c | 1,740$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.19 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Nuggets | 31c | 1,617$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…ca3ebacked Nuggets | 9c | 1,484$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.14 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e21…2442backed Nuggets | 24c | 1,293$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Raptors | 79c | 1,072$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.55 | 168 | 52.4%88 W · 80 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Raptors | 78c | 1,015$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.02 | 241 | 51.9%125 W · 116 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Nuggets | 23c | 1,001$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.28 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Raptors | 77c | 1,000$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Nuggets | 22c | 948.94$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.23 | 260 | 34.6%90 W · 170 L | -20.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Nuggets | 21c | 824.71$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.56 | 608 | 34.4%209 W · 399 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed Nuggets | 24c | 799.15$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.71 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Nuggets | 21c | 761.95$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.01 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9587…cd8ebacked Nuggets | 23c | 705.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.28 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Raptors | 68c | 633.64$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.29 | 163 | 61.3%100 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Nuggets | 23c | 555.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4d…c0cfbacked Raptors | 78c | 512.63$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Raptors | 79c | 499.98$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 635 | 55.6%353 W · 282 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…3ce7backed Nuggets | 17c | 488.85$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.84 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Nuggets | 22c | 475.37$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.58 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4487…08c6backed Nuggets | 33c | 454.55$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Nuggets | 23c | 434.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbcf…c26fbacked Raptors | 74c | 420.56$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Nuggets | 24c | 419.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Nuggets | 18c | 332.22$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.87 | 80 | 26.3%21 W · 59 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Raptors | 78c | 317$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.81 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Raptors | 79c | 316.46$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.46 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | -13.3wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Nuggets | 34c | 305.47$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.24 | 367 | 47.7%175 W · 192 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Nuggets | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.02 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25f2…edf8backed Nuggets | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 106 | 43.4%46 W · 60 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed Nuggets | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Raptors | 68c | 281.12$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Nuggets | 13c | 258.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.79 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd684…1a34backed Nuggets | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b6…9d19backed Raptors | 79c | 230$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba73…e538backed Nuggets | 10c | 216.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x17b9…6d8abacked Nuggets | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Nuggets | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Nuggets | 21c | 196.92$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.82 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4085…bb3fbacked Raptors | 79c | 188.95$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…085fbacked Nuggets | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 166 | 17.5%29 W · 137 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Nuggets | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 354 | 38.1%135 W · 219 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x497b…a32abacked Raptors | 78c | 160.49$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca8…3e59backed Raptors | 71c | 149.92$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb142…cd11backed Nuggets | 23c | 146.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.46 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5479…ef16backed Nuggets | 19c | 138.21$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…ac1dbacked Raptors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa97b…a5c4backed Raptors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Raptors | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Nuggets | 47c | 128.91$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18b4…913bbacked Nuggets | 22c | 124.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed Nuggets | 16c | 121.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 342 | 46.8%160 W · 182 L | +18.1wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed Nuggets | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Nuggets | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…fbf0backed Nuggets | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9599…be88backed Nuggets | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Raptors | 77c | 99.99$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Nuggets | 19c | 99.87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 433 | 21.2%92 W · 341 L | -15.0wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36da…aa79backed Nuggets | 23c | 95.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9e…f0f9backed Nuggets | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4917…16dabacked Nuggets | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb841…3cfbbacked Raptors | 78c | 95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f8…ead6backed Nuggets | 20c | 93.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 182 | 36.8%67 W · 115 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…b19dbacked Nuggets | 32c | 93.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1268…94e0backed Nuggets | 35c | 82.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab1…ed8bbacked Raptors | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 122 | 22.1%27 W · 95 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Raptors | 80c | 77.25$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 824 | 40.4%333 W · 491 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d46…4130backed Raptors | 77c | 75.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e6…fcd9backed Nuggets | 23c | 73.91$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e6…79b5backed Raptors | 71c | 70.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 341 | 69.5%237 W · 104 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe063…8a04backed Nuggets | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | +8.7wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x40ac…ee4bbacked Raptors | 77c | 69.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8df…dcfebacked Raptors | 77c | 67.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1559…6126backed Raptors | 79c | 65.84$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.83 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…637bbacked Nuggets | 33c | 64.29$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Nuggets | 22c | 63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…b783backed Nuggets | 22c | 62.96$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…e78fbacked Nuggets | 23c | 62.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7498…465abacked Nuggets | 22c | 62.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +65%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…bf5cbacked Raptors | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfe…25d3backed Raptors | 79c | 62.22$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9043…2465backed Raptors | 79c | 62.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.06 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07df…2506backed Raptors | 79c | 62.13$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.05 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Raptors | 80c | 61.25$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 905 | 60.8%550 W · 355 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…c166backed Nuggets | 38c | 60.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee4…b575backed Nuggets | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b2…9790backed Nuggets | 24c | 60.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Raptors | 78c | 60.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.