TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Astros vs. Rockies

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Astrosof Astros, Rockies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$194,107
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$228,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $194,107 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9267…0f9abacked Astros71c20,000$14,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,80055053.6%295 W · 255 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ce…bca1backed Astros71c18,732$13,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,432.3920150.2%101 W · 100 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x343d…456ebacked Rockies29c18,314$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.973360.6%20 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1642…5988backed Rockies33c11,707$3,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,852.5569249%339 W · 353 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Rockies36c10,992$3,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.499,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf520…0637backed Rockies29c10,050$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.597950.2%491 W · 488 L+49.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1b0…6eaebacked Astros63c7,624$4,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,820.9832852.4%172 W · 156 L-14.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-7.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked Rockies29c7,002$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.631,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24df…e8b2backed Rockies16c6,643$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,059.361,20344.2%532 W · 671 L+20.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae30…d0a3backed Astros64c6,405$4,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,295.4726847.4%127 W · 141 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x578d…fbb3backed Astros63c6,227$3,928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,298.6933845.9%155 W · 183 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies23c5,793$1,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,307.812,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockies36c4,717$1,698 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,698.0723752.7%125 W · 112 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7435…a620backed Astros58c4,122$2,404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,717.8428646.5%133 W · 153 L-15.5wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Rockies30c4,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20098149.8%489 W · 492 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked Rockies29c3,890$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.11,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Rockies39c3,197$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.871,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Rockies1c3,142$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1832832.3%106 W · 222 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ce8…4527backed Astros70c3,077$2,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.244456.5%251 W · 193 L+21.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5e5b…590dbacked Astros60c3,023$1,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,207.1466645.5%303 W · 363 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x704a…7c42backed Rockies39c2,880$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.33955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07cb…743cbacked Rockies35c2,691$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$941.9111357.5%65 W · 48 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91b0…f0b6backed Astros70c2,150$1,505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6457663.2%48 W · 28 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Astros70c1,984$1,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.1126949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37bb…06e8backed Rockies37c1,729$638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$637.9825550.6%129 W · 126 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Astros69c1,643$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514.752650%13 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Rockies29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43538249.5%189 W · 193 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b1a…bf3abacked Astros71c1,338$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$387.925666.1%37 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b6f…3838backed Rockies25c1,276$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.640547.4%192 W · 213 L+9.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf65e…a55abacked Rockies37c1,131$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.521050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24b9…bcb1backed Rockies19c1,106$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.3622312.1%27 W · 196 L-8.0wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-39.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Rockies1c1,058$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.098762.9%25 W · 851 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick2cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3587…23adbacked Rockies30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007244.4%32 W · 40 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Rockies29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29093240.5%377 W · 555 L+14.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c9d…d327backed Astros63c962.57$611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7732042.8%137 W · 183 L-23.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-13.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Astros71c948.99$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.2176456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Rockies11c869.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.327733.6%93 W · 184 L+13.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Rockies19c782.09$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.986,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1781…a0ecbacked Rockies35c762$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.0565549.3%323 W · 332 L-7.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Rockies14c749$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.561,51039%589 W · 921 L-16.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa320…8232backed Astros63c748.47$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.5928447.5%135 W · 149 L-20.9wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-15.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1c7e…de56backed Astros71c748.02$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.022157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d7…52e1backed Astros69c725.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.0980955.5%449 W · 360 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3f5…32aebacked Astros72c694.44$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.445358.5%31 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Rockies31c630.72$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.689538.9%37 W · 58 L-4.3wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Astros73c587.98$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.882,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Astros71c546.89$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.62,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Rockies2c517.17$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.275053.8%19 W · 486 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick3cpaid-12.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Rockies30c509.4$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.8214050.7%71 W · 69 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…79a4backed Astros64c500$320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18015644.9%70 W · 86 L+7.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Astros71c422.54$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.542,03352.4%1,066 W · 967 L-35.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef75…5d78backed Astros63c391.79$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.841,35845.9%624 W · 734 L+41.5wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies29c375$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7544443%191 W · 253 L+21.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Rockies29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031145.7%142 W · 169 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa717…8919backed Rockies30c333.98$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1940548.9%198 W · 207 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabf6…129dbacked Rockies30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017037.6%64 W · 106 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Astros71c330$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.168769.6%478 W · 209 L+60.4wins+0.09per pick61cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa116…6f3bbacked Rockies31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006648.5%32 W · 34 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc0c8…090cbacked Astros64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.517754.8%97 W · 80 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc51d…528dbacked Astros66c303.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.151100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies31c300.29$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.332,26145.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L+57.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Astros72c286.12$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1813450%67 W · 67 L+5.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x282c…784bbacked Rockies30c283.13$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.947733.8%26 W · 51 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e12…7348backed Astros71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6938455.7%214 W · 170 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa075…7d2bbacked Astros72c279.23$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.233281.3%26 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Astros72c278.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.012,26753.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L-12.4wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ccf…2fedbacked Astros72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7839160.4%236 W · 155 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19b8…9c8ebacked Rockies36c274.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039436%142 W · 252 L-0.1wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05a4…1e85backed Astros77c261.53$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.580680%645 W · 161 L+173.6wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+34.7%equal weight73+0.21 edge/pick
0x298c…3e58backed Rockies29c220.69$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe341…273bbacked Rockies30c217.07$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.122343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Astros71c200$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5892754.9%509 W · 418 L-19.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd61e…de34backed Astros64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723974.4%29 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick70cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a4…8935backed Rockies31c175.45$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.39540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d6d…aeb9backed Rockies37c175.44$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655839.7%23 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ba6…09eabacked Rockies31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508848.9%43 W · 45 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40ac…ee4bbacked Astros70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452171.4%15 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x786e…d198backed Astros48c150$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Astros70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451,36044.3%602 W · 758 L+45.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Astros67c149.63$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.636150.8%31 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb58…0e11backed Rockies37c148.27$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8442955%236 W · 193 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6edc…18cebacked Astros70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8631356.2%176 W · 137 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0864…b3d0backed Astros71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.852360.9%14 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+5.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6407…7d12backed Astros71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8518247.8%87 W · 95 L-8.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2e…ddecbacked Rockies29c130.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.861,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc614…b14bbacked Rockies28c126$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.552542.5%223 W · 302 L+2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Astros70c123$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.92,04553.8%1,100 W · 945 L+32.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa337…9e54backed Astros72c115.32$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.2994455.3%522 W · 422 L-2.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5874…a9d7backed Astros48c100.44$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.2324953%132 W · 117 L+14.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa51c…4c1fbacked Rockies31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Astros70c100$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3015080%120 W · 30 L+11.6wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+11.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb9cc…387abacked Astros72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283240.6%13 W · 19 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-27.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed Rockies30c99.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9921044.8%94 W · 116 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4dc6…949abacked Rockies12c98.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.82412.5%3 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick18cpaid-55.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Rockies29c97.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.4226642.1%112 W · 154 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1260…410abacked Astros72c88.66$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.932100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+48.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102c…a24cbacked Astros69c85.17$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.2216251.9%84 W · 78 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Rockies36c85.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.661,09750.1%550 W · 547 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50bb…c876backed Rockies25c80$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.15642.9%24 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16ea…6df7backed Astros58c80$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.813138.2%50 W · 81 L-9.4wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-36.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.