MLB · resolved market
Cardinals vs. Rockies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa77c101aadeb55f4ae10aa2c74d0dbb0188262e8dc968fb74aea0a6dde9c1abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rockiesof Cardinals, Rockies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $129,801
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $129,801 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36da…e646backed Cardinals | 2c | 56,660$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.86 | 235 | 45.1%106 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Cardinals | 1c | 4,689$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Cardinals | 62c | 4,585$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,856.46 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockies | 55c | 4,054$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.43 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08ad…208ebacked Rockies | 38c | 3,428$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.58 | 217 | 40.1%87 W · 130 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Cardinals | 5c | 3,077$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.57 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked Cardinals | 63c | 2,981$1,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,865 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Rockies | 38c | 2,680$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,662.05 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2873…ad0abacked Cardinals | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c12…1937backed Rockies | 58c | 2,382$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.26 | 384 | 44%169 W · 215 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cardinals | 21c | 2,306$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.98 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 2,110$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.55 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Cardinals | 1c | 2,103$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1b0…6eaebacked Cardinals | 63c | 2,000$1,255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,255 | 328 | 52.4%172 W · 156 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Cardinals | 62c | 1,876$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.32 | 717 | 51%366 W · 351 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Cardinals | 62c | 1,750$1,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,092.47 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…85a4backed Rockies | 37c | 1,284$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.78 | 141 | 48.2%68 W · 73 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0229…ea6cbacked Rockies | 38c | 1,010$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621.88 | 417 | 47.2%197 W · 220 L | +15.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Rockies | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040e…c03dbacked Rockies | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Rockies | 37c | 999.97$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.98 | 958 | 50%479 W · 479 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Cardinals | 28c | 911.28$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.32 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a69…2f29backed Cardinals | 63c | 900$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6de4…aa6dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Rockies | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.47 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Cardinals | 21c | 781.86$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.19 | 959 | 30%288 W · 671 L | -24.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf674…7fcabacked Rockies | 37c | 700$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Cardinals | 63c | 634.92$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3010…a27cbacked Cardinals | 7c | 634.24$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.75 | 107 | 19.6%21 W · 86 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433f…a0dcbacked Cardinals | 18c | 605.33$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.46 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Rockies | 37c | 551.99$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.75 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3490…dbbfbacked Rockies | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…5b87backed Cardinals | 56c | 500$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.5 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rockies | 37c | 435$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.75 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df7…baefbacked Cardinals | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f90…1b35backed Cardinals | 63c | 394$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Rockies | 35c | 342.84$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.24 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Rockies | 38c | 322.32$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.84 | 432 | 47.2%204 W · 228 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Rockies | 37c | 317$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.71 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Cardinals | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Cardinals | 65c | 305.79$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Rockies | 37c | 299.95$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.97 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6790…5e06backed Rockies | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Rockies | 37c | 269.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.1 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Cardinals | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Cardinals | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Rockies | 38c | 178$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.36 | 2,045 | 53.8%1,100 W · 945 L | +32.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Rockies | 35c | 176$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Rockies | 38c | 168$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3372…1914backed Cardinals | 65c | 161.74$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 1,388 | 55.1%765 W · 623 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a4…1e85backed Rockies | 52c | 154.17$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.55 | 806 | 80%645 W · 161 L | +173.6wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x4527…0e7fbacked Cardinals | 64c | 153.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0816…b594backed Rockies | 37c | 135.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Cardinals | 63c | 133.33$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1126…4e82backed Rockies | 79c | 122$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 600 | 52.2%313 W · 287 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cardinals | 45c | 121.09$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.31 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…51c6backed Cardinals | 56c | 117.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.5wins | -0.20per pick | 52cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xae61…25b9backed Rockies | 37c | 110.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…e4d8backed Rockies | 37c | 108.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ea…e15cbacked Rockies | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.26 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Rockies | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 695 | 47.5%330 W · 365 L | -16.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Cardinals | 62c | 100$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 667 | 51.9%346 W · 321 L | +30.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7119…422ebacked Rockies | 38c | 100$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Cardinals | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4aa…8763backed Cardinals | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc8…b090backed Rockies | 38c | 99.38$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ec…4b7ebacked Cardinals | 25c | 96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 387 | 43.2%167 W · 220 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…869cbacked Cardinals | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c3d…359cbacked Cardinals | 63c | 95.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611b…f45fbacked Rockies | 37c | 94.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Rockies | 59c | 92.38$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe3…3d9bbacked Rockies | 38c | 90$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +141.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…ff0cbacked Cardinals | 62c | 90$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…425ebacked Cardinals | 60c | 83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.8 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 62cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Rockies | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 1,203 | 48.5%584 W · 619 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Cardinals | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcd…2822backed Cardinals | 63c | 76.19$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…7fe1backed Cardinals | 63c | 75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b1…ebcbbacked Rockies | 38c | 75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +131.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb92d…d8bbbacked Cardinals | 63c | 73.02$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c9…4ca5backed Cardinals | 63c | 73.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9022…b426backed Cardinals | 63c | 71.43$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.0wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -31%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Rockies | 38c | 71.05$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Rockies | 36c | 70.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.2 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa051…3d67backed Cardinals | 63c | 69.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf7…cdb7backed Rockies | 43c | 67$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 457 | 49.7%227 W · 230 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d6d…aeb9backed Cardinals | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…312fbacked Cardinals | 63c | 63.51$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a6…fe2abacked Cardinals | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.5wins | -0.39per pick | 61cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x833d…649fbacked Cardinals | 63c | 63.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2b…a10dbacked Cardinals | 27c | 62.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5547…ca51backed Cardinals | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -22%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf2dd…667abacked Rockies | 38c | 62.37$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc027…cd1dbacked Cardinals | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b5…8fb7backed Cardinals | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…8709backed Rockies | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ac…4f0fbacked Rockies | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 42cpaid | +142.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04df…e6babacked Cardinals | 63c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c4…4493backed Cardinals | 64c | 60$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.4 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35ff…4b3bbacked Rockies | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.