TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1361…501e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
93
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST4045%18 W · 22 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 40 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Mavericksbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+244.8%+$26.93
Grizzlies vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49.3%+$12.81
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Heat vs. Timberwolvesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+185.7%+$33.43
Suns vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13.53
Jazz vs. Warriorsbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Rockets vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+270.4%+$45.96
Thunder vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$16.5
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$17
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+257.1%+$51.43
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$23.5
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+33.3%+$12.67
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
Bucks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Nets vs. Mavericksbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT+400%+$48
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$15.11
Bulls vs. Sunsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$62
Pelicans vs. Spursbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Jazz vs. Grizzliesbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Jazz vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2025, EST+53.8%+$19.38
Suns vs. Bullsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2025, EST-100%-$22
Showing 25 of 40 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maple Leafs vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$36
Devils vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Canucks vs. Canadiensbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$13
Ducks vs. Hurricanesbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Blackhawks vs. Capitalsbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+233.3%+$42
Lightning vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Islanders vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$11.82
Flames vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$43
Utah vs. Blackhawksbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$19.58
Blue Jackets vs. Senatorsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Blackhawks vs. Avalanchebacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$14.59
Oilers vs. Bluesbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2025, EST+58.7%+$35.24
Ducks vs. Panthersbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$31
Canucks vs. Jetsbacked Canucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2025, EST-100%-$23
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2025, EST+75.4%+$18.86
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 7, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+76.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Everton FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.5
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+400%+$56
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$44.07
Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-01-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+163.2%+$31
Will Tottenham win on 2025-04-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will West Ham vs. Leicester end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2025, EST+31.6%+$21.16
Will Brentford win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST+194.1%+$33
Will Ipswich vs. Brighton end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2025, EST-100%-$50
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-01-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2025, EST+132.6%+$29.16
All 10 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NFL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dolphins vs. Patriotsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Lions vs. Bearsbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+170.3%+$38.31
Jets vs. Billsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Chargers vs. Texansbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2025, EST-100%-$29
Dolphins vs. Jetsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24
All 5 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 19, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.37per pick38cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mets vs. Nationalsbacked Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Cardinals vs. Rockiesbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$44.05
Padres vs. Brewersbacked Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$29
White Sox vs. Redsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT+185.7%+$33.43
All 4 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Virginia vs. Missouribacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$40
North Texas vs. San Diego Statebacked North Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+38.9%+$17.11
Florida International vs. UTSA Roadrunnersbacked UTSA Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+44.9%+$19.32
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+44.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+77.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Poland vs. Nigeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+254.3%+$28.75
Will Armenia vs. Hungary end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NJIT Highlanders vs. Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawksbacked Massachusetts-Lowell River Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Drake vs. Texas Techbacked Texas Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2025, EDT+35.1%+$18.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Oviedo vs. Elche CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.