NHL · resolved market
Utah vs. Blackhawks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca26f06067505e8d50cc257870d284591d6dc1aeadffe55762264a62a7eb887e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Utahof Utah, Blackhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,814
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe626…2fe6backed Blackhawks | 64c | 6,000$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.25per pick | 66cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8011…e98ebacked Utah | 49c | 4,112$2,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,090.21 | 98 | 63.3%62 W · 36 L | +13.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Utah | 56c | 3,580$2,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.58 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Utah | 36c | 3,409$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,181.82 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Blackhawks | 34c | 3,071$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,044.2 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Utah | 62c | 2,205$1,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.38 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…6307backed Blackhawks | 31c | 2,146$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.52 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Utah | 67c | 1,980$1,317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$663.37 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Utah | 66c | 1,502$991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.68 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03cd…9fdabacked Blackhawks | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Utah | 66c | 1,500$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.62 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Blackhawks | 35c | 1,500$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.47 | 245 | 46.1%113 W · 132 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Blackhawks | 30c | 1,400$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Blackhawks | 39c | 1,243$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Utah | 66c | 1,104$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.99 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Blackhawks | 35c | 1,054$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.98 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Utah | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Utah | 65c | 644.87$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.05 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Blackhawks | 31c | 599.83$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.94 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 444$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.52 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Blackhawks | 33c | 439.07$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Utah | 66c | 434.28$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.52 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdb…5ae8backed Blackhawks | 40c | 360$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Blackhawks | 4c | 342.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Utah | 68c | 323.53$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.53 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Blackhawks | 15c | 310.79$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.67 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Utah | 65c | 299.96$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.98 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe862…7d6bbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Utah | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Utah | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6a…8dc5backed Utah | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.52 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Utah | 66c | 145$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9448…be98backed Utah | 76c | 105.6$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 154 | 70.1%108 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Blackhawks | 33c | 104.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.73 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Utah | 66c | 102.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 234 | 62%145 W · 89 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Blackhawks | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Blackhawks | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Utah | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de4…2d29backed Blackhawks | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Blackhawks | 32c | 94.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.21 | 106 | 27.4%29 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f4…0336backed Utah | 65c | 90.77$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Utah | 67c | 89$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0690…d534backed Utah | 68c | 80.88$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +248.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa64…9f30backed Blackhawks | 36c | 80.56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Utah | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Utah | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Utah | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abd…548dbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…624cbacked Blackhawks | 40c | 67.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 340 | 32.4%110 W · 230 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Blackhawks | 34c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…501ebacked Utah | 66c | 57.58$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.58 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x548c…763bbacked Blackhawks | 35c | 56.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd880…cb50backed Blackhawks | 24c | 46.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a6…2ab9backed Utah | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | -6.9wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c28…02a1backed Blackhawks | 35c | 43.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f4…59a7backed Blackhawks | 35c | 41.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df6…b99dbacked Blackhawks | 36c | 40.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed Blackhawks | 32c | 39.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 284 | 40.1%114 W · 170 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Utah | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Utah | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b63…d570backed Blackhawks | 35c | 30.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…f652backed Blackhawks | 34c | 30.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Utah | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5220…4e88backed Utah | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 38 | 68.4%26 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfba…2737backed Utah | 67c | 28.67$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.46 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fb…cd40backed Utah | 67c | 25.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad5…0306backed Utah | 67c | 25.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3352…ad46backed Utah | 67c | 24.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf790…6324backed Utah | 66c | 23.73$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c39…44debacked Utah | 66c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Utah | 49c | 22.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Utah | 80c | 21.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 133 | 63.2%84 W · 49 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9633…cf15backed Utah | 67c | 20.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x172d…b827backed Utah | 66c | 20.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.91 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2a…785abacked Utah | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Utah | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 138 | 60.9%84 W · 54 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…c925backed Utah | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecf…6f9cbacked Utah | 66c | 17.52$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Utah | 67c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 459 | 54.2%249 W · 210 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…dcc7backed Utah | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.