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Premier League · resolved market

Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$302,095
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$397,014

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $302,095 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7690…74e1backed Yes21c66,042$13,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,327.982638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No50c20,503$10,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,192.114,76841.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked No80c18,880$15,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,030.15837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick58cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x827f…7f59backed Yes55c10,436$5,711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,725.154841.7%20 W · 28 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No68c8,984$6,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,094.152,66145.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L-11.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No79c7,658$6,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,056.271,24449.4%615 W · 629 L+1.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes41c7,440$3,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,390.863450%17 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed No80c7,210$5,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,767.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes19c6,358$1,185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,173.946,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No79c5,976$4,721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,721.1348150.9%245 W · 236 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked No61c5,486$3,354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.6516851.2%86 W · 82 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No79c4,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,16079639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd66f…a19bbacked No20c3,721$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.5242043.8%184 W · 236 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Yes17c3,529$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,929.411844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb19f…dd0ebacked Yes56c3,373$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.184367.4%29 W · 14 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5eb0…5012backed Yes16c3,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,519.9919729.4%58 W · 139 L-9.6wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes18c2,704$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,204.011,28348%616 W · 667 L-5.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No67c2,511$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,680.831,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Yes62c2,103$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.051957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7250…f52fbacked Yes19c2,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6206829.4%20 W · 48 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed No80c1,888$1,510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,509.9714147.5%67 W · 74 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No40c1,420$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.3916160.9%98 W · 63 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No80c1,381$1,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.821253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No49c1,381$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.2677336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No79c1,378$1,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,088.859849%48 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked No80c1,332$1,066 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.63348.5%16 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes60c1,317$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.4724146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ac5…6a3dbacked No80c1,200$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96022744.5%101 W · 126 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes20c1,040$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$833.11,21241.7%505 W · 707 L-1.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071b…b44cbacked Yes19c1,000$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$810955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+50.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x873a…2066backed No80c1,000$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.4230739.4%121 W · 186 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-16.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes18c1,000$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82041437.9%157 W · 257 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5bd…2182backed Yes19c956.11$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$774.452552%13 W · 12 L+4.0wins+0.16per pick36cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes19c912$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.721,26433.7%426 W · 838 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No79c900$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71139156%219 W · 172 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+10.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes20c885$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$711.141,14642.8%490 W · 656 L-8.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No38c856.22$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.2425530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e83…4bd3backed Yes18c803.56$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.924163.4%26 W · 15 L+7.7wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+50%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x19bb…a23dbacked Yes20c680$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5441330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick34cpaid+27.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5ea…0b14backed Yes20c670$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5362227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-0.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a09…3c83backed Yes43c619.88$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.882060%12 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No79c612.38$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.784862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked No80c585.48$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.384856.3%27 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab85…81e6backed No80c574.61$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.69933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.8wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-43.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No77c560.24$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.7743241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes20c530$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42425648%123 W · 133 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Yes23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3851942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No80c500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4004564.4%29 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5091…db41backed Yes21c476.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.312040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No80c461.77$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.421,22440%490 W · 734 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No43c444.12$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.972,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed No80c429$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.212454.8%68 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked No30c367.6$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.131428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4422…96f4backed Yes54c359$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.421457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6955…f54bbacked Yes20c340$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2721540%6 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid+54.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c1…c739backed Yes19c334.02$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.021241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+62.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes21c323.81$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.8110850.9%55 W · 53 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed No25c300$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747740.3%31 W · 46 L-0.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-17%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b35…12b3backed Yes20c300$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2398055%44 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa4…dbc5backed Yes44c284.09$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.09955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x727d…1589backed No43c283.23$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.3820931.6%66 W · 143 L-11.3wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed No50c271.73$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.8518251.6%94 W · 88 L+0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes62c266$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0825052%130 W · 120 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x976a…5fbbbacked Yes51c245.29$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.293930.8%12 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f70…edbabacked Yes20c232.46$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.46333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid+64.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1421…51d1backed Yes45c212.33$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.783935.9%14 W · 25 L-6.0wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-30%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes22c200$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0522125.8%57 W · 164 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x804d…078cbacked No79c182.39$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.091656.3%9 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.19per pick75cpaid-24.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1871…59e6backed Yes60c180$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7213651.5%70 W · 66 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78bd…300dbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.44666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x847c…9d31backed Yes62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.294854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No43c160.36$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.341,27250.4%641 W · 631 L-53.9wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d2a…3daebacked Yes19c157.89$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.895646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+54.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Yes70c142.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8610751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387b…3961backed Yes19c137.16$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick16cpaid+163.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc450…f2f7backed No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005461.1%33 W · 21 L-6.9wins-0.13per pick74cpaid-16.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x52ca…1d63backed No80c125$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes20c125$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004050%20 W · 20 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe351…e48dbacked Yes18c123.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.1415350.3%77 W · 76 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17eb…82bcbacked Yes76c115.83$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.693056.7%17 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-1.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8159…ed58backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.112937.9%11 W · 18 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3940…9e72backed Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.1115534.8%54 W · 101 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xee67…e6febacked Yes18c111.11$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.115335.8%19 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf48c…e4dabacked No54c110.32$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.156440.6%26 W · 38 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bac…f4d3backed Yes18c109.97$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.971428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid+9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x021a…b2d7backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.264731.9%15 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x81fa…c4d6backed Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.268542.4%36 W · 49 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1838…6ba8backed Yes20c105$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843844.7%17 W · 21 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c6b…f532backed Yes62c104.66$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.77825%2 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-54.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1c80…aa9abacked No54c102.21$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.943351.5%17 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4f8…97b3backed No46c101.82$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.843464.7%22 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes19c101.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.971,00646.6%469 W · 537 L-20.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db6…1d97backed Yes71c101.11$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.621154.5%6 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick71cpaid-23.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797236.1%26 W · 46 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc0…17cabacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes20c100$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8031746.1%146 W · 171 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x207b…df20backed No61c100$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612227.3%6 W · 16 L-5.3wins-0.24per pick52cpaid-53.7%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x12fe…38cfbacked Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7944036.8%162 W · 278 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00b2…6cb7backed Yes41c96.4$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.42744.4%12 W · 15 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick66cpaid-28.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd58d…cb8abacked Yes19c94.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+253%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.