Premier League · resolved market
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad6e2eda422c33284c58f63476c9eeac1451a90933a487f65683d440b3b69877
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,524,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,532,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,524,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37e4…c991backed No | 35c | 154,508$54,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,430.07 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5350…2fdabacked Yes | 65c | 150,000$97,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,150 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 67c | 117,872$79,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79,075.07 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed No | 35c | 74,610$25,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,869.44 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…bb65backed No | 35c | 71,111$24,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,432.99 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +42%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 34c | 69,999$23,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,199.25 | 201 | 40.8%82 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked No | 34c | 68,870$23,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,454.13 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Yes | 66c | 66,283$43,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,647 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 34c | 55,356$19,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,281.58 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…be40backed Yes | 0c | 54,153$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.13 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 61cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 69c | 48,584$33,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,375.32 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 29c | 33,673$9,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,770.57 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 27,098$9,951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,950.71 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed No | 36c | 25,000$9,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,000 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Yes | 64c | 23,374$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +6.0wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 33c | 22,613$7,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,243.95 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 30c | 22,539$6,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,678.92 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 30c | 22,047$6,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,425.47 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 33c | 20,236$6,641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,595.35 | 319 | 44.5%142 W · 177 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed No | 30c | 18,243$5,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,769.77 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed No | 42c | 17,342$7,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,976.69 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb2…c8c9backed Yes | 65c | 15,200$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Yes | 66c | 15,094$9,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,988.06 | 122 | 41.8%51 W · 71 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 43c | 14,954$6,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,559.21 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06df…3b05backed No | 30c | 14,000$4,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,799.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 34cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9bb3backed No | 35c | 13,857$4,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,007.05 | 52 | 71.2%37 W · 15 L | +9.2wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Yes | 67c | 13,000$8,765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,764.92 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 69cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed No | 30c | 12,624$3,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,836.87 | 218 | 53.2%116 W · 102 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e50…e705backed Yes | 67c | 12,329$8,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,241.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.8wins | -0.45per pick | 70cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 11,818$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,098.14 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Yes | 65c | 11,538$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -13.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…5b59backed No | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked No | 34c | 9,940$3,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,544.89 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Yes | 65c | 9,231$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe329…34f9backed Yes | 65c | 9,147$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,945.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed No | 29c | 8,986$2,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,355.31 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 8,945$3,405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,539.98 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked Yes | 65c | 8,500$5,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,519.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 65c | 8,170$5,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,310.22 | 233 | 50.2%117 W · 116 L | -14.9wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 70c | 8,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11e2…26ccbacked No | 35c | 8,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,199.93 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes | 67c | 7,500$5,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,050 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9eb…ae0ebacked No | 32c | 7,430$2,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,085.62 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +4.2wins | +0.25per pick | 40cpaid | +52%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x645e…1bd3backed Yes | 71c | 7,042$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd89e…35fabacked No | 30c | 7,000$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed No | 34c | 6,800$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,519.79 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8f2…22a3backed Yes | 70c | 6,781$4,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.37 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed Yes | 67c | 6,600$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,417.58 | 142 | 54.2%77 W · 65 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1052…53dabacked No | 29c | 6,275$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,455.01 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes | 65c | 6,000$3,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,916.89 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb0…5012backed Yes | 49c | 6,000$2,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,970 | 197 | 29.4%58 W · 139 L | -9.6wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed No | 34c | 6,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,959.99 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…833fbacked Yes | 40c | 5,983$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 35c | 5,977$2,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,885.14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa432…8d9abacked No | 30c | 5,950$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,165 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked No | 34c | 5,840$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840.96 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…7cc9backed No | 20c | 5,824$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,659.19 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +6.8wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +62%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 67c | 5,614$3,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.74 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4025…de4ebacked Yes | 72c | 5,184$3,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Yes | 80c | 5,095$4,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,053.06 | 137 | 27%37 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 67c | 5,000$3,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,350 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x447e…9710backed No | 35c | 4,880$1,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,172.22 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 32c | 4,606$1,458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.34 | 1,264 | 33.7%426 W · 838 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbff1…d32bbacked Yes | 68c | 4,421$3,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,006.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ad…819ebacked Yes | 65c | 4,382$2,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,848.77 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed No | 29c | 4,293$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,045.07 | 159 | 44.7%71 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…f9f4backed Yes | 70c | 4,170$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928.09 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked No | 31c | 4,065$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,804.52 | 192 | 39.1%75 W · 117 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0979…8d9bbacked Yes | 66c | 4,063$2,665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,664.58 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 35c | 4,005$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.25 | 212 | 53.8%114 W · 98 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 101 | 48.5%49 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 55c | 4,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 206 | 46.1%95 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7350…9dc0backed Yes | 68c | 3,933$2,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,690.5 | 182 | 39.6%72 W · 110 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd659…17a4backed Yes | 66c | 3,847$2,553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Yes | 65c | 3,816$2,481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,480.65 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35a6…cb8fbacked No | 33c | 3,789$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,538.35 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 34cpaid | +20%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed No | 35c | 3,767$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.65 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 66c | 3,751$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.01 | 119 | 45.4%54 W · 65 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked No | 70c | 3,659$2,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Yes | 67c | 3,608$2,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,417.22 | 189 | 48.7%92 W · 97 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Yes | 66c | 3,572$2,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,352.7 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Yes | 65c | 3,565$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,317.38 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3909…335fbacked No | 29c | 3,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.65 | 14 | 92.9%13 W · 1 L | +6.5wins | +0.46per pick | 47cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…3ddcbacked Yes | 66c | 3,148$2,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.48 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bd8…e1fbbacked Yes | 66c | 3,035$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000.38 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 69cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…819ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 68c | 3,011$2,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050.67 | 264 | 44.7%118 W · 146 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d80…cd30backed Yes | 66c | 3,010$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff0e…2991backed No | 30c | 3,004$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,095.32 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +3.6wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +63%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 31c | 3,001$920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.51 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a1f…d0bbbacked Yes | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c38…de5abacked No | 30c | 3,000$890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.98 | 93 | 58.1%54 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 64c | 2,886$1,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.99 | 192 | 53.1%102 W · 90 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Yes | 69c | 2,875$1,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,988.34 | 144 | 56.3%81 W · 63 L | +13.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 34c | 2,868$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.75 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed No | 35c | 2,850$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,852.49 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed No | 11c | 2,819$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,518.08 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed No | 31c | 2,735$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.48 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 25c | 2,722$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,045.77 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed No | 35c | 2,645$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.08 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-07?this page
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-01-07?No won
- Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.