TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x52ca…1d63

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
156
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Champions League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT5358.5%31 W · 22 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick66cpaid-9.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,160
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$57.23
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$192.16
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Brazil · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.1
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$19.18
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Will France win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$141.03
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Netherlands · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+46.4%+$60.28
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.78
Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Spread: Senegal (-2.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$17.57
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3756.8%21 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$172.18
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$67.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+37%+$73.61
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$49.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$121.9
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.96
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$42.86
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+54.8%+$16.44
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-02-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$14.79
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-02-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$44,590Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+32.4%+$14,464.21
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+84.4%+$33.75
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$9.47
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+81.8%+$24.55
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT3268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+42.2%+$63.31
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$35.24
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.74
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$336Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$224.26
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$88.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.01
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$223.66
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,688Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+25.1%+$423.7
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$18,845Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+29.4%+$5,547.37
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$30
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Mallorca: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+45.2%+$22.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$79.75
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-01-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$270.82
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+31.6%+$78.95
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+35.1%+$35.14
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+48.7%+$72.98
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed RCD Espanyol de Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+78.6%+$39.29
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,028Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+55.9%+$3,372.39
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-12-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$3,000
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$25.77
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$79.57
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.84
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.9
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$50.77
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-02-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.9%+$128.57
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-12-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-11-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+122.2%+$61.11
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Djokovic (+2.5)backed Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$14.94
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Miami Open, Qualification: Jack Pinnington Jones vs Coleman Wongbacked Coleman Wong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$35.94
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+65.8%+$48.96
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+200.9%+$1,245.84
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$30
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+119.8%+$23.96
All 9 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3)backed Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+35.4%+$16.34
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN Freecs (BO3)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+43.8%+$26.3
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$609Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$608.76
All 3 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,888Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+27.2%+$1,876.92
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$14.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$228.92
Cavaliers vs. Kingsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+44.9%+$17.97
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$89.74
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2025-11-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+26.6%+$13.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+25%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jan 30, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-Inbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.